Alexandra Eala vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Question: Who has performed better on second serves recently? Eala has won 38.53% of points compared to Ostapenko's 37.12%, giving Eala a slight edge in this area.
• Return game advantage: Ostapenko excels in recent return games, winning 53.72% of second serve points compared to Eala’s 48.34%. However, Eala slightly outweighs Ostapenko on first serve returns at 34.55% against Ostapenko's 32.03%.
• Pressure handling: When facing breakpoints, Eala and Ostapenko are almost evenly matched, with Eala saving 47.47% and Ostapenko 47.2%.
• Overall match performance: Over the past year, Eala shows better match performance with a 61.64% win rate compared to Ostapenko's 52.5%.
• Surface preferences: Both players favor grass, but Ostapenko's dominant 69% career win rate on grass slightly surpasses Eala's 67%.
• Player experience: Ostapenko has more experience at the Main tour level, whereas Eala has shown greater success in Challengers/ITF events.
• Direct head-to-head outcomes: In their sole meeting, Eala emerged victorious in straight sets, highlighting her capability to outperform Ostapenko head-to-head.
• Deciding set potential: While Ostapenko is stronger in deciding sets overall (70% win rate), these players have never reached a deciding set against each other.
• Break point opportunities: During recent form, both players show comparable breakpoint conversion rates, with Eala at 43.14% and Ostapenko at 41.21%.
• Opponent quality: Ostapenko has competed against higher-ranked players, with an average rank of 57.6, compared to Eala’s opponent average of 205.66.

Editorial Prediction (June 25, 2025, UTC):

A detailed analysis of their recent performances highlights Eala's slight edge in second serve success and overall match win percentage over the past year. Despite Eala's strength in first serve returns, Ostapenko has demonstrated superior effectiveness in return games, especially on opponents' second serves.

While Ostapenko's experience on the Main tour and stronger performance in deciding sets could offer potential advantages, Eala's solid record against Ostapenko and previous victory suggests confidence in facing her opponent.

Given their solitary head-to-head encounter and relative pressure performance, Eala seems slightly more well-rounded in this matchup. Taking into account all factors, Eala is favored to win this upcoming match, based on her consistent performance metrics.