Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Recently, Bublik has a slight edge in second serve points won with 44.72% compared to Medvedev's 44%.
• Return Game: Medvedev has the upper hand here, winning 46% of second serve return points compared to Bublik's 45.74%.
• First Serve Return: Medvedev stands out by winning 26.09% of his opponent's first serve points, outperforming Bublik at 21.85%.
• Resilience Under Pressure: Bublik saves 58.63% of breakpoints, just ahead of Medvedev's rate of 56.77%.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Medvedev has won 63.08% of his matches, whereas Bublik has won 52.63%.
• Preferred Surfaces: Bublik excels on Grass with a career win rate of 63%, while Medvedev performs best on Hard courts with a 75% win rate.
• Event Level: Bublik mainly competes on the Main tour, winning 42.86% of matches, while Medvedev plays the Masters series and wins 59.09% of matches.
• Head-to-Head Record: Medvedev dominates with 7 wins in their 7 encounters, leaving Bublik winless.
• Match Duration: Their average match lasts 1:30:37, with Medvedev often coming out on top.
• Deciding Sets: Medvedev has a slight advantage, winning 56% of deciding sets against all players compared to Bublik’s 53%.
• Extreme Pressure: In tiebreaks, Medvedev leads 3-0 over Bublik.
• Strength of Opponents: Over the past year, Medvedev has faced tougher opponents, averaging a rank of 52.2, compared to Bublik’s 71.56.
• Break Point Conversion: Medvedev edged Bublik with a 32.57% conversion rate versus Bublik's 31.84%.

Editorial Prediction (June 21, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik is grounded in a rivalry that saw Medvedev consistently come out victorious. Reviewing their head-to-head records, Medvedev leads emphatically with 7 wins out of 7 encounters. The dominance extends to set victories, where Medvedev won 15 out of their 16 sets played.

Medvedev's strength in returning both first and second serves suggests he is well-equipped to apply pressure on Bublik’s service games. Bublik, while resilient in breakpoint saves, may struggle to break down Medvedev’s solid defenses and return game, especially given Medvedev's high break point conversion rate.

Given the patterns observed and the statistical advantages Medvedev possesses, he is projected to be the likely winner of this match.