Alex De Minaur vs Jannik Sinner Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Alex De Minaur has shown superior second serve performance, winning 46.65% of points compared to Jannik Sinner's 41.37%.
• Sinner's ability to win 40.33% of opponent second serve points is slightly lower than De Minaur's 42.90%.
• When returning first serves, De Minaur is more effective, securing 24.10% of points as opposed to Sinner's 19.95%.
• How do they perform under pressure? De Minaur has saved 55.33% of breakpoints, surpassing Sinner's 53.48% in this regard.
• Considering the last year's performance, Sinner excels with a 91.04% win rate, while De Minaur holds 69.14%.
• Sinner is dominant on indoor hard surfaces with an 82% win rate in his career, matching De Minaur's 82% on grass.
• Interesting to note, in Grand Slam events over the past year, Sinner has a remarkable win rate of 92.86%, while De Minaur achieves 75.00% on the Main Tour.
• In their head-to-head record, Sinner has triumphed in all 12 encounters, winning 27 of 29 sets played.
• The average duration for their matches has been approximately 1 hour and 42 minutes.
• Sinner's opponents have had a higher average rank (36.7) compared to De Minaur's (59.38) over the last 12 months.
• In deciding sets, Sinner has emerged victorious in 67% of these situations, while De Minaur's success rate is at 44%.
• Which player takes advantage of break points? Recently, De Minaur has converted 28.08% of breakpoints, slightly better than Sinner's 23.08%.

Editorial Prediction (November 15, 2025, UTC):

With Jannik Sinner's consistent high-level performance on indoor hard courts and a remarkable Grand Slam win rate over the past year, he appears to have an advantage in surface and event level comparisons.

Despite Alex De Minaur's impressive serving and ability to save breakpoints, his head-to-head record against Sinner strongly suggests a significant challenge ahead, having never won a match against him.

Considering all statistical analyses and recent trends, Jannik Sinner is most likely to win the upcoming tennis match, particularly on the indoor hard surface they will compete on.