Alex De Minaur vs Jannik Sinner Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Can second serve performance make a difference in this match? Alex De Minaur leads slightly here, winning 46.07% of points on second serves compared to Jannik Sinner’s 41.02% over the last six months.
• Jannik Sinner has a slight disadvantage in return stats, winning 39.79% of opponents' second serve points, whereas Alex De Minaur captures 41.85%. For first serve returns, Sinner wins 21.52% compared to De Minaur's 23.50%.
• In breakpoint opportunities, how do the players compare when under pressure? Alex De Minaur displays stronger resilience, saving 56.21% of breakpoints, while Jannik Sinner saves 52.83%.
• Does overall match performance offer any insight? Jannik Sinner has a higher win ratio over the past year, with a 90.00% success rate, while Alex De Minaur maintains a 68.29% win record.
• Both players have distinct surface strengths, with Sinner excelling on indoor hard courts and De Minaur thriving on grass. Neither player shows a strong preference for clay.
• Is grand slam experience an advantage? Sinner has outstanding grand slam performance, winning 92.86% of matches, whereas De Minaur excels on the main tour with a 75.00% win rate.
• What does their head-to-head record reveal? Sinner holds a commanding head-to-head lead, winning all 11 of their previous encounters, with a set record of 25-2.
• Against similar quality opponents, Sinner has faced those ranked at an average of 39.85, while De Minaur has played against opponents ranked 59.79, highlighting Sinner's experience against tougher competition.
• If this match reaches a deciding set, will this impact the outcome? Sinner has a stronger record in deciding sets, winning 60% compared to De Minaur's 44%.

Editorial Prediction (October 25, 2025, UTC):

In their upcoming match, Jannik Sinner appears to hold several advantages over Alex De Minaur. His higher overall win percentage and superior record in grand slam events and head-to-head competitions suggest a strong mental edge.

Both players exhibit strengths and weaknesses in specific areas such as second serve performance and breakpoint resilience. However, Sinner's ability to compete against tougher opponents and his consistent record in crucial match-deciding sets highlight his competitive advantage.

Considering the statistical evidence and Sinner's dominant past performance against De Minaur, Jannik Sinner is the most probable winner for this match.