Alex De Minaur vs David Goffin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In recent months, analyzing second serve performance reveals Minaur winning 44.2% of points, slightly higher than Goffin's 42.93%. This subtle difference may provide an edge in match predictions due to the high correlation between second serve efficacy and match outcomes.

Return game statistics further differentiate the players. Minaur, while showing solid form by winning 41.91% of opponents’ second serve points, trails Goffin who captures 45.73% in the same aspect. Upon first serve returns, Goffin again leads with 28.57% over Minaur’s 23.31%, suggesting a potential advantage for Goffin in return situations.

When faced with breakpoints, Minaur has saved 50% compared to Goffin’s more robust 57.44% in recent form, a critical indicator for those interested in live-match betting strategies. Breakpoint conversion has Minaur executing at 34.21%, narrowly ahead of Goffin's 31.53%, suggesting that Minaur might seize opportunities better when they arise.

Over the past year, Minaur boasts a substantial win rate of 67.69% (W/L 44/21), over Goffin’s 57.81% (W/L 37/27), which highlights his stronger consistent performance. Their best surfaces differ, with Minaur performing best on grass at 69% (W/L 51/23) as opposed to his lower 56% success on clay. Goffin, on the other hand, is most successful on clay with 65% (W/L 214/114), and less so on grass, winning 59% (W/L 44/30).

In terms of competitive levels, Minaur played most of his matches on the Main tour in the last year, achieving a 70.83% win rate (W/L 17/7) which surpasses Goffin’s 53.33% (W/L 16/14) on the same circuit. It's noteworthy to consider the relative event levels they've participated in when predicting a favorite.

Head-to-head encounters undeniably favor Minaur, who has emerged victorious in all 6 previous meetings, claiming 12 of 13 sets. Their last confrontation saw Minaur prevail with a decisive 6-2, 6-4 scoreline at the ABN AMRO Open in Rotterdam. Further, their average head-to-head match duration is 1:27:19, with high-pressure scenarios like their single tiebreaker resulting in Minaur’s favor.

Turning to opponent quality, over the last year Minaur faced competitors with an average rank of 71.49, in contrast to Goffin’s opponents ranking at an average of 99.3. Despite this, in deciding set performances over the past 12 months, Goffin shows a better record, winning 61% compared to Minaur’s 40%.

Taking a holistic view of these statistics, including surface preferences, performance against competitors, and head-to-head dominance, the indicators lean towards Minaur as the favorite to win this upcoming match.