Alex De Minaur vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Both players demonstrate a similar level of performance regarding their second serve effectiveness, with Alex De Minaur marginally leading by 0.53%.
• In terms of returning games, Camilo Ugo Carabelli shows a slight edge in winning points on the opponent's second serve at 45.83% compared to De Minaur's 43.19%.
• Carabelli excels in saving breakpoints, managing to save 57.58%, while De Minaur saves 51.68%, indicating resilience under pressure.
• Performance across the last year shows De Minaur with a slightly higher match win percentage (67.50%) compared to Carabelli (62.03%). Can this slight difference indicate De Minaur as the stronger competitor overall? It could suggest consistency at higher levels.
• Surface preferences differ significantly. Carabelli thrives on clay, achieving a 65% win rate, whereas De Minaur excels on grass with an identical win percentage, 65%.
• Analyzing the tournaments, Carabelli finds more success in Challengers/ITF tournaments with a 79.41% win rate, while De Minaur competes mainly on the main tour, winning 73.33% of his matches. Does the competition level influence who might have an edge?
• Regarding the caliber of opposition, De Minaur faces higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 59.05 against Carabelli's average opponent rank of 161.85.
• Should the match extend to a deciding set, Carabelli boasts an impressive 77% success rate, compared to De Minaur's 50%.

Editorial Prediction (October 2, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Alex De Minaur promises to be closely contested, with both players showing strengths in different areas. Carabelli's ability to return second serves and save breakpoints suggests a resilience that could be crucial.

However, De Minaur's experience and success on the main tour against higher-ranked opponents might give him the slight edge, indicating his ability to thrive in higher-stakes environments.

While Carabelli may have the edge on clay, the overall indicators, especially considering level of competition faced and the overall performance rate, predict that Alex De Minaur is more likely to emerge victorious in this match.