Alex Bolt vs Fajing Sun Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Sun has outperformed Bolt in second serve points, winning 48.53% compared to Bolt's 44.28%. Could this offer Sun a crucial edge in the match? Yes, as this stat often correlates with match outcomes.
• Sun also leads in return game stats, with a higher success rate of 46.78% on opponent's second serve points compared to Bolt's 41.84%. On first serve returns, however, Bolt has a slight advantage at 27.82% over Sun's 26.7%.
• When facing breakpoint situations, Bolt has demonstrated a stronger resolve, saving 59.63% compared to Sun's 53.97%.
• Over the past year, Sun boasts a winning percentage of 67.11% in matches, surpassing Bolt's 55.77%, indicating more consistent overall performance.
• Surface preferences also differ; Sun excels on indoor hard courts with a 60% win rate, whereas Bolt finds more success on grass with a 71% win rate.
• Sun typically competes in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, winning 78.72% of these matches, while Bolt frequents Challengers/ITF tournaments, securing victories 55.56% of the time. Does this suggest a difference in playing level? Likely, with Sun dominating at lower levels.
• The players have only faced each other once, with Sun taking the victory in straight sets on hard court.
• In deciding sets, Bolt has a better track record, winning 70% compared to Sun's 63% over the last year, which might influence outcomes if the match extends to a deciding set.
• Though Sun and Bolt have played against differently ranked opponents, Bolt has generally faced more challenging competition, with his opponents averaging a rank of 238.54 vs. Sun's 359.91.
• Sun showcases a higher breakpoint conversion rate recently, executing 38.24% of opportunities, compared to Bolt's 25.96%.

Editorial Prediction (May 11, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the players' performance stats suggests that Sun has the upper hand in several critical areas. Their second serve strength and ability to win points on their return game provide a significant advantage.

On the other hand, Bolt's success in saving breakpoints and winning deciding sets cannot be overlooked. Additionally, Sun's dominance in their previous encounter, coupled with a slightly higher win percentage over the last year, also favors them.

Factoring in the playing surface and recent competition levels, although Bolt has faced stiffer opponents, Sun's consistent performance in crucial metrics weighs heavily.

Given these considerations, Sun appears more likely to prevail in this upcoming match, though Bolt's resilience under pressure may provide a formidable challenge. The likely winner is Sun.