Aldin Setkic vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When considering second serve effectiveness, Ivan Marrero Curbelo outperforms, winning 41.58% of points compared to Aldin Setkic's 32.29%. How significant is this? High correlation with match prediction suggests this gives Curbelo an edge.
• In recent return games, Setkic excels with a 52.66% win rate on opponents' second serves, surpassing Curbelo's 48.27%.
• When facing first serves, Curbelo is stronger, with a 36.67% win rate compared to Setkic's 28.67%.
• Under pressure, Curbelo is more proficient at saving breakpoints, achieving a rate of 55.36%, while Setkic has a rate of 48.44%.
• In the past year, Curbelo has won 54.90% of his matches, whereas Setkic has a 44.44% win record, indicating Curbelo may have a slight advantage in recent overall performance.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, with Setkic having a slight edge in win percentage at 66% over Curbelo's 58%.
• In terms of match level, Curbelo shows stronger results at Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, winning 59.52% of matches compared to Setkic's 44.44%.
• Setkic's opponents have been slightly higher ranked, averaging 369.28, versus Curbelo's opponents at 386.16, possibly indicating tougher competition faced by Setkic.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Setkic has a distinct advantage, having secured 67% of such sets compared to Curbelo's 36%.

Editorial Prediction (September 25, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the players' recent performances, Ivan Marrero Curbelo demonstrates stronger second serve effectiveness, which is a key factor often linked to overall match success. This strength could prove decisive in high-pressure points.

Despite Setkic's superior record against second serves and his distinct advantage in deciding sets, Curbelo's ability to perform under pressure with better breakpoint save rates and more matches won in recent competitions indicates potential superiority.

Given the combination of these factors and Curbelo's advantage on first serve returns, he seems likely to have an edge. Therefore, Ivan Marrero Curbelo is predicted to be the more probable winner of their upcoming match.