Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second serve efficiency shows Jessica Pegula winning 44.46% of points over the last 6 months, compared to Ajla Tomljanovic’s 40.00%. Could this be a decisive factor? It seems so.
• In return games, Ajla Tomljanovic slightly edges out Jessica Pegula by winning 50.60% of her opponent's second serve points. But, can this translate into a match victory?
• Examining first serve return stats, Ajla Tomljanovic outperforms Jessica Pegula with a 32.43% win rate as opposed to 29.03%.
• In pressure situations, Jessica Pegula has a slight advantage, saving 53.67% of breakpoints, marginally better than Ajla Tomljanovic’s 53.23%.
• Jessica Pegula’s overall match win rate over the last year is 66.18%, compared to Ajla Tomljanovic’s 54.72%, indicating stronger recent performance by Pegula.
• Considering surface preference, Jessica Pegula excels on Hard courts with a 67% win rate, whereas Ajla Tomljanovic’s best is on Grass at 59%.
• Jessica Pegula has competed more often at the Masters series in the last year and wins 57.14% of those matches, while Ajla Tomljanovic leads on the Main tour with a 60.71% win rate.
• In direct head-to-head encounters, Jessica Pegula leads with three wins out of four matches, where she has also won seven out of ten sets played.
• Match durations between the two average 1:16:0, ideal for predicting match length.
• Both have claimed one win each in deciding sets against each other, which is crucial if the match goes the distance.
• Jessica Pegula’s recent competition has been tougher, with her opponents averaging a rank of 50.25, much higher than Ajla Tomljanovic’s average of 121.96.
• In broader deciding set scenarios, Ajla Tomljanovic boasts a 62% win rate, exceeding Jessica Pegula’s 52% over the past year.

Editorial Prediction (September 27, 2025, UTC):

Based on recent performance metrics, Jessica Pegula outperforms Ajla Tomljanovic on second serve points and has a higher overall match win rate. These factors can be pivotal as matches often hinge on consistency and composure under pressure.

While Ajla Tomljanovic holds an advantage in returning first serves and has a higher success rate in deciding sets recently, Jessica Pegula's experience against higher-ranked opponents adds weight to her favor.

Their head-to-head history heavily leans towards Pegula, indicating a psychological edge. Despite Tomljanovic's excellent results in earlier matches, Pegula's superior hard court performances and her 3-1 head-to-head lead suggest she is more likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming clash.