Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent months, Elena Rybakina has been more effective with her second serve, winning 43.80% of points, compared to Ajla Tomljanovic's 39.44%. How does this affect match predictions? It significantly correlates with match outcomes.
• Ajla Tomljanovic excels in return games, securing 51.55% of her opponent's second serve points, surpassing Rybakina's 47.84%. Could this give Tomljanovic an edge? Certainly, especially in breaking serves.
• Tomljanovic has a better first serve return rate at 32.03%, while Rybakina's is at 25.71%. This advantage significantly influences her ability to counter her opponent's serves.
• In pressure situations, Rybakina is more resilient, saving 57.37% of breakpoints, compared to Tomljanovic's 52.48%. This suggests stronger mental fortitude during crucial points.
• Over the past year, Rybakina's win rate stands at 70.83%, markedly higher than Tomljanovic's 52.00%, highlighting a consistent performance advantage.
• Rybakina thrives on Grass courts, boasting a 59% win rate, identical to Tomljanovic on the same surface. However, Rybakina's 68% win rate on Hard courts surpasses Tomljanovic's 47% on I.hard.
• In high-level competitions, both players have notable records. Tomljanovic has a 65.52% success rate on the Main tour, while Rybakina has secured 63.64% on the Masters series.
• In direct encounters, Rybakina leads 2-0 over Tomljanovic, winning 4 out of 5 sets, pointing to her historical dominance.
• On average, Rybakina faces higher-ranked opponents, with an average rank of 63.82, compared to Tomljanovic's 114.66, possibly indicating a tougher competitive field.
• Interestingly, Tomljanovic performs better in deciding sets, winning 57% compared to Rybakina's 54% victory rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 17, 2025, UTC):

Ajla Tomljanovic has showcased strong return games in recent form, clearly winning more points on her opponent's serves, which could be a pivotal advantage if she maintains consistency.

However, Elena Rybakina's superior win rate, effective play under pressure, and competency against higher-ranked opponents suggest a clear performance edge.

Considering head-to-head statistics, Rybakina's dominant past encounters with Tomljanovic further tip the scale in her favor.

Taking into account overall statistics and historical matches, Elena Rybakina appears to be the likely winner in their upcoming match.