Aidan Mchugh vs Hiroki Sakagawa Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recently, Hiroki Sakagawa has demonstrated superior performance on second serves, winning 53.23% of points, compared to Aidan Mchugh's 43.47%. This statistic is crucial for predicting match outcomes.
• When analyzing return games, Sakagawa wins 51.95% of opponents' second serve points, while Mchugh achieves 44.82%. How does this affect their head-to-head comparison? It suggests Sakagawa has a slight edge.
• For first serve returns, Sakagawa again leads with 34.74%, whereas Mchugh sits at 29.80%, supporting the idea of Sakagawa's advantage in this matchup.
• Facing breakpoints, Sakagawa saves 62.50%, outperforming Mchugh at 54.19%. This could influence in-game dynamics significantly.
• Over the last year, Mchugh has a better win rate at 65.15% compared to Sakagawa’s 60.00%, indicating stronger overall form.
• Sakagawa excels on clay with a 60% win rate, while Mchugh's best surface is hard court where he also has a 60% win rate. Does this surface preference impact predictions? It might, depending on the match location.
• Competing mainly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, Mchugh has won 69.09% of his matches, surpassing Sakagawa’s 60.00% in the same circuit.
• Opponent quality shows Mchugh facing more challenging competition, with opponents having an average rank of 151.14 versus Sakagawa's average of 228.7.
• In deciding sets, Mchugh's win percentage is at 55%, notably higher than Sakagawa’s 40%, suggesting Mchugh's ability to perform under pressure.
• Sakagawa's breakpoint conversion rate is 43.75%, a higher efficiency compared to Mchugh's 35.45%, revealing an edge in critical points.

Editorial Prediction (November 19, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the recent form and comparing various performance metrics, Hiroki Sakagawa shows stronger second serve and return game statistics compared to Aidan Mchugh. This indicates Sakagawa could have a tactical advantage in baseline exchanges and serve return scenarios.

However, when examining overall consistency and match outcomes over the past year, Aidan Mchugh holds a slight upper hand with a higher overall win rate and experience against tougher competition. His performance in deciding sets and adaptability to surface conditions further flatten the competitive landscape.

Considering these aspects, while Sakagawa exhibits proficiency in key segments, Mchugh's broader competitive experience and mental toughness in decisive moments suggest a marginal favor. Therefore, Aidan Mchugh is the likely candidate to emerge victorious in this upcoming match.