World Championship Qual. UEFA Preview And Prediction: Poland v Lithuania Betting Tips & Picks March 21, 2025

Pick Based On Odds: Poland to win

• Implied from the sportsbook odds, Poland are the pick to come out on top in this fixture with a 83.33% chance to win. A good prediction? Most likely, due to Bookmakers have their metrics figured out:
  Poland → 1.20
  Lithuania → 17.00

  Prediction	Chance Of Win
  Poland	83.33 %
  Lithuania	5.88 %
  Draw	15.38 %

• Calculated chance based on the odds, also indicates a likelihood of a 44.64% probability that both Poland and Lithuania to score goals (BTTS):
  Both Teams To Score Yes → 2.24

  Prediction	Chance Of BTTS
  Yes	44.64 %
  No	62.5 %

• Assessing the odds for goal count suggests a likelihood of a 85.47% prediction of this match having more than 1.5 total goals:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.17

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (1.5)
  Over	85.47 %
  Under	20.41 %

• Assessing the odds for total goals suggests there is a 63.69% expectation of this game having over 2.5 total goals:
  Match Over 2.5 Goals → 1.57

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U FT (2.5)
  Over	63.69 %
  Under	42.55 %

• Assessing the odds for Draw No Bet indicates a likelihood of 97.09% expectation that Poland will come out on top in this match. Odds for:
  Poland → 1.03

  Prediction	Chance Of Draw No Bet
  Poland	97.09 %
  Lithuania	7.14 %

• Evaluating the odds for goal count suggests a likelihood of 43.86% expectation that this match will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
  Match Over 1.5 Goals → 2.28

  Prediction	Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5)
  Over	43.86 %
  Under	62.89 %

To explore value bets so you can make money, read our expert Football predictions at Matchstat.com. Unlock today’s top Football edge bets here.

Prediction Based On Head-2-Head: Poland to win the match

H2H: Poland (2 – 1) Lithuania.
Poland to win. What’s the reasoning? In the last 5 direct games between these teams, Poland are winning 2 – 1. Our H2H analysis goes back to the encounter between them in 2009. This suggests that Poland are likely to prevail in this upcoming match. The latest match happened on the Tue, 12 Jun 18, where Poland secured a 4 – 0 victory.

Will Lithuania reverse the trend and overcome the H2H stats? The last game Lithuania came out on top vs Poland was on Fri, 25 Mar 11, illustrating that they could come out on top.

Current Form Prediction: Lithuania to prevail

Analyzing current performance heading into this game, Poland faced a loss up against Scotland with a result of 1-2. Lithuania faced a loss facing Kosovo with a score of 0-1. Poland have got the victory in 2 of their recent 10 games versus all opponents, whereas Lithuania triumphed in 3 of their recent 10 games against all teams, suggesting maybe Lithuania have an edge heading into this match.

Comparing team streaks gives us valuable insight into current form so you can find out the best bets

Against All Teams Streaks:

• Lithuania: Losses in the last 7 matches.
• Poland: No wins in the last 5 matches.
• Poland: Without clean sheet in the last 11 matches.
• Lithuania: Without clean sheet in the last 7 matches.
• Poland: More than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Lithuania: More than 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Poland: Both teams scoring in 9 of the last 10 matches.
• Lithuania: Both teams scoring in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Poland: First to concede in 4 of the last 5 matches.
• Lithuania: First to concede in 6 of the last 7 matches.
• Poland: More than 4.5 cards in 5 of the last 5 matches.
• Lithuania: More than 4.5 cards in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Poland: Less than 10.5 corners in 5 of the last 6 matches.
• Lithuania: Less than 10.5 corners in 7 of the last 7 matches.

Exact Head-to-Head Streaks:

• Poland: 3 No losses.
• Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 4 of the last 5 matches.

Poland vs Lithuania Top Bookie Odds For The Match

Full Time Result

1W

1.2

2W

17

X

6.5

Both Teams To Score

Yes

2.24

No

1.6

Over Under Full Time

> 1.5

1.17

< 1.5

4.9

> 2.5

1.57

< 2.5

2.35

Asian Handicap && -1.5

1W -1.5

1.6

2W -1.5

2.22

Draw No Bet

1W

1.03

2W

14

Over Under First Half

> 1.5

2.28

< 1.5

1.59

Poland vs Lithuania Tips

Both Teams To Score → No stands out as a worthwhile punt → 1.60