Prediction Of Zverev Vs Paul H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Alexander Zverev Play Against Tommy Paul?

Zverev and Paul are on the Day 10 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Tuesday 21 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: NO. 2 Alexander Zverev (GER) vs NO. 12 Tommy Paul (USA)
Head-to-head: Paul leads 2-0
2020 Acapulco Hard (O) R16 Paul 63 64
2022 Indian Wells-1000 Hard (O) R64 Paul 62 46 76(2)
This is the third meeting between Zverev and Paul, but their first at a Grand Slam. Paul has won both of their previous meetings, which were both on hard courts, in 2020 and 2022.

Zverev has faced a Top 20 player at the Australian Open 12 times. He has a 4-7 win-loss record against Top 20 players at this tournament, with his victories coming against Andrey Rublev and Stan Wawrinka in 2020, Carlos Alcaraz in 2021, and Ugo Humbert in 2022. Overall, Zverev has a 13-22 win-loss record against Top 20 players at Grand Slams.

Zverev has been successful against Top 20 players recently, winning 8 of his last 9 matches against them. He defeated 4 Top 20 players en route to winning the 2024 Paris-1000 title and won his first 3 matches at the 2024 ATP Finals. His only loss to a Top 20 player during this time was against Taylor Fritz in the semifinals of the ATP Finals. Overall, Zverev has a 106-102 win-loss record against Top 20 players at Tour-level.

Paul is looking to defeat a Top 20 player at a Grand Slam for the second time. He has a 1-8 win-loss record against Top 20 players at Grand Slams, with his only victory coming against Grigor Dimitrov at the Australian Open in 2020. He lost to Novak Djokovic in the semifinals of the Australian Open in 2023. Overall, Paul has a 26-43 win-loss record against Top 20 players at Tour-level.

Paul is also aiming to defeat a Top 5 player at a Grand Slam for the first time in his sixth attempt. He has lost all five of his previous matches against Top 5 players at Grand Slams, including to Djokovic in the semifinals of the Australian Open in 2023. Paul has won only one of his last seven matches against Top 5 players at Tour-level, with his victory coming against Daniil Medvedev at the Rome-1000 in 2024. Overall, Paul has a 7-13 win-loss record against Top 5 players at Tour-level.

In terms of their performance at this year’s Australian Open, Zverev has won all six of his matches, while Paul has won six out of seven matches. Zverev’s total time on court has been 8 hours and 33 minutes, while Paul’s total time on court has been 10 hours and 31 minutes.

Zverev, currently ranked No. 2, is looking to reach the semifinals at the Australian Open for the third time, which would equal Tommy Haas’s Open Era record for most semifinal appearances by a German man at this tournament. This is Zverev’s 10th Australian Open appearance.

Zverev is bidding to reach his ninth Grand Slam semifinal, which would put him in second place on the Open Era list for most Grand Slam quarterfinal appearances by a German man. He is also bidding to equal Daniil Medvedev and Stan Wawrinka’s record for the third-most Australian Open men’s singles semifinal appearances among active players.

If Zverev wins the title at this year’s Australian Open, it would be his first Grand Slam singles title and he would join the list of players who took multiple attempts to win their first major. Zverev is also looking to become the first German man to win a Grand Slam title since Boris Becker in 1996.

Paul, on the other hand, is aiming to reach his second semifinal at the Australian Open and equal his best Grand Slam result. This is his sixth Australian Open appearance and his 22nd Grand Slam overall. If Paul reaches the semifinals, he would become the 11th American man in the Open Era to achieve this feat at the Australian Open.

Overall, this quarterfinal match between Zverev and Paul is highly anticipated, given their head-to-head record and their performances at this year’s Australian Open.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Zverev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul prediction.