Prediction Of Vukic Vs Nishikori H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Aleksandar Vukic Play Against Kei Nishikori?

Vukic and Nishikori are on the Day 2 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Thursday 24 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Aleksandar Vukic from Australia and Kei Nishikori from Japan will be facing each other for the first time. Tennis Data Innovations Insights uses algorithmic software to analyze ball and player tracking data in real-time. This data is used to calculate various aspects of each shot, including shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic. More information about these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights.

Based on the 52-week averages, the following insights can be observed: Vukic has a 24% conversion rate when in attack, a 66% score steal rate, and a 30% serve quality rate. His forehand quality is measured at 8.2, while his backhand quality is at 5.9. Nishikori, on the other hand, has a 25% conversion rate when in attack, a 69% score steal rate, and a 29% serve quality rate. His forehand quality is measured at 7.1, and his backhand quality is at 6.5. The tour average for these metrics is 24% conversion rate, 69% score steal rate, 31% serve quality rate, 7.9 forehand quality, and 6.5 backhand quality.

The match between Vukic and Nishikori will take place at Caja Magica in Madrid, Spain, from April 23 to May 4, 2025. Aleksandar Vukic, aged 29, is currently ranked 83 in the world and achieved a career-high ranking of 48. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 4-9, with his best performance being a third-round appearance at the Australian Open. In his previous appearance at Madrid in 2024, he was eliminated in the first round.

Vukic’s career milestones include breaking into the top 200 in March 2020 and reaching the top 100 in May 2023. He achieved his career-high ranking of 48 in August 2023 after reaching his first ATP Tour final in Atlanta. He also had notable performances, such as reaching the semifinals of the 2024 Eastbourne tournament and defeating No. 9 Ruud on his way to the third round of the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai. He has won Challenger titles at Bengaluru-2 in 2022 and Busan in 2023 and reached the finals of the Challenger tournaments in Champaign in 2021 and 2022. During his time at the University of Illinois from 2015-2018, he was a three-time All-American. Vukic was born in Sydney to parents who fled Montenegro during the breakup of Yugoslavia in the early 1990s. It is worth noting that Vukic has experienced a recent streak of losses, going 0-6 on tour-level matches since defeating No. 484 L. Borg in Davis Cup vs. Sweden in January.

Kei Nishikori, aged 35, is currently ranked 64 in the world and achieved a career-high ranking of 4. He is considered the top Asian men’s player in history and reached his career-high ranking in 2015. Nishikori’s most significant victory came at the 2014 US Open when he defeated No. 1 Djokovic, becoming the first Asian Grand Slam men’s singles finalist. His first ATP Tour title was won at the 2008 Delray Beach tournament when he was only 18 years old and ranked 244th, making him the youngest champion since Hewitt’s victory at the 1998 Adelaide tournament at the age of 16. Nishikori has won six ATP 500 titles, reached four ATP Masters 1000 finals, qualified for the Nitto ATP Finals four times, and won a bronze medal at the 2016 Rio Olympics. He also has an impressive record in deciding sets, with the highest winning percentage among active players. In fifth sets, he trails only behind Alcaraz and Djokovic in terms of winning percentage.

Nishikori is aiming for his 450th tour-level win, as he currently holds a record of 449 wins and 228 losses throughout his career. If achieved, he will become the first Asian man in the Open Era and the eighth active male player to reach this milestone. This will be his 10th appearance in the Madrid tournament, with his best performances being a runner-up finish in 2014 and reaching the quarterfinal stage in five consecutive years from 2013 to 2017.

Among active players participating in the Madrid tournament, the win leaders are Novak Djokovic with 30 wins and 9 losses, Alexander Zverev with 23 wins and 5 losses, Kei Nishikori with 18 wins and 8 losses, Stan Wawrinka with 17 wins and 13 losses, and Gael Monfils with 16 wins and 13 losses.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Vukic will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Aleksandar Vukic vs Kei Nishikori, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Aleksandar Vukic vs Kei Nishikori prediction.