Prediction Of Tsitsipas Vs Busta H2H, Who Will Win At ATP United Cup 2025?

What Time Will Stefanos Tsitsipas Play Against Pablo Carreno Busta?

Tsitsipas and Busta are on the Day 2 Schedule at United Cup 2025 on 27 December 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Stefanos Tsitsipas, the top-ranked Greek tennis player of all time, has a head-to-head record of 3-0 against Pablo Carreno Busta. Their previous matches include a clay-court semifinal in Barcelona in 2018, which Tsitsipas won 7-5, 6-3, a hard-court round of 32 match in Dubai in 2020, which Tsitsipas won 7-6(1), 6-1, and a clay-court round of 16 match at Roland Garros in 2021, which Tsitsipas won 6-3, 6-2, 7-5.

Tsitsipas, who is currently 26 years old, is ranked as the world number 11. He achieved his career-high ranking of number 3 in August 2021. He has an impressive record of 11 wins against top-3 opponents, including 2 against the number 1 ranked player, 4 against the number 2 ranked player, and 5 against the number 3 ranked player. Tsitsipas has reached the semifinals of a Grand Slam six times, with notable performances in the 2021 Roland Garros and 2023 Australian Open finals, where he lost to Novak Djokovic.

In his early career, Tsitsipas won the Next Gen ATP Finals title in 2018 at the age of 20 and the Nitto ATP Finals title in 2019 at the age of 21, becoming the youngest champion of the latter event since Lleyton Hewitt in 2001. He has also won 11 ATP Tour titles, including three ATP Masters 1000 Monte Carlo titles in 2021, 2022, and 2024. However, he is still seeking his first ATP 500 title, with a record of 0-11 in finals.

Tsitsipas has gained recognition for his achievements at a young age. Before turning 21, he became the youngest of 30 players to defeat Djokovic, Federer, and Nadal. Notably, he defeated Djokovic at the 2018 Toronto Masters in the third round, Federer at the 2019 Australian Open in the fourth round, and Nadal at the 2019 Madrid Masters in the semifinals.

It is worth mentioning that Tsitsipas has participated in the United Cup in singles, with a record of 5-1. His only loss came against Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals last year. Despite finishing the 2024 season ranked number 11, Tsitsipas ended up outside the top 10 on the Year-End PIF ATP Rankings for the first time since 2018 when he was ranked number 15.

Carreno Busta, on the other hand, is a 33-year-old Spanish player currently ranked as the world number 196. He achieved his career-high ranking of number 10 in singles and number 16 in doubles during the 2017 season. He has won seven singles titles and four doubles titles throughout his career.

Carreno Busta’s notable achievements include winning the 2022 Montreal championship, making him the 15th different Spaniard to win an ATP Masters 1000 title since the start of the series in 1990. He also claimed a bronze medal at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics (held in 2021), defeating Djokovic and Medvedev along the way. In addition, he reached the semifinals of the US Open and the quarterfinals of Roland Garros in both 2017 and 2020. He also reached the doubles final of the 2016 US Open with his compatriot Guillermo Garcia-Lopez.

Carreno Busta has represented Spain in team competitions, being a part of the 2019 Davis Cup championship team and helping Team Spain reach the ATP Cup finals in 2020 and 2022.

In the 2025 season, Carreno Busta started with a 6-2, 6-1 victory over Shevchenko but lost in the deciding mixed doubles match against Kazakhstan. He is currently looking to secure his highest-ranked win since defeating number 10 ranked Hubert Hurkacz in the 2022 Montreal final to capture his first ATP Masters 1000 title.

In the mixed doubles event, Maria Sakkari and Stefanos Tsitsipas represent Greece, while Yvonne Cavalle-Reimers and Sergio Martos Gornes represent Spain.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Tsitsipas will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Pablo Carreno Busta, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Pablo Carreno Busta prediction.