Prediction Of Starodubtseva Vs Gauff H2H, Who Will Win At WTA China Open 2024?

What Time Will Yuliia Starodubtseva Play Against Coco Gauff?

Starodubtseva and Gauff are on the Qf ( Bottom Half Day ) Schedule at China Open 2024 on Thursday, 3 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[Q] Yuliia Starodubtseva (UKR #115) is facing [4] Coco Gauff (USA #6) for the first time in their careers. Starodubtseva has advanced to the quarterfinals in her first-ever WTA 1000 main draw appearance by going through qualifying and the main draw without dropping a set in any of her six matches. She has achieved her first wins against top 50 players in the past three matches, including a victory over No. 14 Anna Kalinskaya in the previous round. Starodubtseva has a 0-1 record against top 10 opponents, after losing to No. 6 Ons Jabeur at the Australian Open earlier this year. If she wins today, it will be her first career semifinal. She is aiming to become the second qualifier to reach the semifinals at this tournament, following Monica Niculescu in 2011, and the second Ukrainian player after Elina Svitolina in 2016. Starodubtseva reached her first quarterfinal last month in Monastir (lost to eventual champion Kartal).

On the other hand, Gauff is making her second appearance at the China Open after reaching the semifinals last year. She has an impressive 11-1 record against qualifiers this year, with her only loss coming against Anna Kalinskaya, whom Starodubtseva defeated in the previous round. Gauff has won 23 out of her last 24 matches against players outside the top 100. Her only loss in this category came at the 2023 Wimbledon against No. 128 Sofia Kenin. Gauff has a 6-2 record in quarterfinal matches this year and currently leads the tour in Return Games Won (45.8%) and Return Points Won (48.3%). With a win, she would tie Emma Navarro for the third most match wins this year (45), only behind Iga Swiatek (57) and Sabalenka (49). Gauff is ranked No. 6 on the PIF Race to the WTA Finals, aiming to qualify for her third consecutive WTA Finals.

In terms of tournament history, this is Starodubtseva’s debut appearance at the Beijing tournament and her first-ever WTA 1000 main draw. She made her WTA main draw debut at this year’s Australian Open, and before that, she had participated in the qualifying rounds of the 2023 San Diego and US Open. Starodubtseva has not dropped a set in both qualifying and main draw matches. She has a previous 0-1 record against top 10 players, with her loss coming against No. 6 Ons Jabeur at the Australian Open. She is looking to reach her first career Tour-level semifinal, and her record in WTA quarterfinal matches currently stands at 0-1. Starodubtseva is the only player from Ukraine to reach the quarterfinals, and the best result by a Ukrainian player at the Beijing tournament was Elina Svitolina’s semifinal run in 2016. The last time a player from Ukraine reached the quarterfinals in Beijing was in 2019. Starodubtseva is currently ranked No. 115, a significant improvement from her ranking of No. 203 at the same time last year.

As for Gauff, this is her second appearance at the Beijing tournament. She reached the semifinals last year, losing to eventual champion Iga Swiatek. Gauff has one career WTA 1000 title, which she won at the 2023 Cincinnati tournament. She has also reached five more WTA 1000 events, including two this year at Indian Wells (lost to Maria Sakkari) and Rome (lost to Iga Swiatek). In this tournament, Gauff received a first-round bye and then defeated Clara Burel, Katie Boulter, and Naomi Osaka (via retirement) to reach the quarterfinals. She has an 8-2 career record against Ukrainian players, with a 5-1 record in 2024 (her only loss came to Marta Kostyuk at Stuttgart). Gauff has an impressive 36-4 career record against qualifiers, with an 11-1 record in 2024 (her only loss came to Anna Kalinskaya at Dubai). She has won all eight matches against players outside the top 100 this year and 23 of her last 24 match-ups. Her last loss to a player outside the top 100 came against No. 128 Sofia Kenin at Wimbledon last year. Gauff has a 22-16 record in WTA quarterfinal matches and has a 6-2 record this year. She is looking to reach her seventh semifinal of the year and her fourth on hard courts. Six of Gauff’s seven career titles have come on hard courts, including one this year in Auckland. She is the only player from the US to reach the quarterfinals at the Beijing tournament. The best result by a US player at this tournament was Serena Williams’ title runs in 2013 and 2004. Gauff is currently ranked No. 6, a drop from her No. 3 ranking at the same time last year. She has won 44 matches so far in 2024, ranking No. 4 on tour for match wins behind Swiatek (57), Sabalenka (49), and Navarro (45). Gauff leads the tour in Return Points Won % (48.3%) and Return Games Won % (45.8%).

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Starodubtseva will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Coco Gauff, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Coco Gauff prediction.