Prediction Of Shelton Vs Navone H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Ben Shelton Play Against Mariano Navone?

Shelton and Navone are on the Day 3 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Friday 25 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Ben Shelton, a 22-year-old tennis player from the United States, currently holds a 2-0 head-to-head record against his opponent, Mariano Navone from Argentina. Their previous matches took place at the 2024 Tokyo tournament, where Shelton emerged victorious with a 6-4, 6-3 scoreline, and the 2025 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells event, where Shelton again defeated Navone with a more commanding 6-3, 6-2 victory. Shelton is currently ranked world number 13 and has achieved a career-high ranking of number 12. In the 2025 season thus far, he has compiled a win-loss record of 14-8, reaching the Munich final and having a 1-2 record in Madrid.

Shelton’s rise in the tennis rankings has been relatively quick. He broke into the top 200 players in the world in August 2022, followed by a top 100 debut in November 2022. By September 2023, Shelton had climbed to the top 20, ultimately reaching his career-high ranking of 12 in March 2025 after advancing to the semifinals of the Australian Open.

Notable victories for Shelton include defeating fellow Americans Paul and Tiafoe at the 2023 US Open, where he became the youngest American man to reach the semifinals since Michael Chang accomplished the feat in 1992 at the age of 20. Additionally, Shelton’s win over number 4 ranked Jannik Sinner at the 2023 Shanghai event allowed him to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal. In terms of accolades, Shelton secured his first ATP Tour title at the 2023 Tokyo tournament. This victory also marked a significant milestone, as he and his father, Bryan Shelton, became the fourth father-son duo in the Open Era to win a tour-level championship, joining the likes of Phil & Taylor Dent, Ramanathan & Ramesh Krishnan, and Petr & Sebastian Korda. In his debut appearance outside of the USA, Shelton reached the quarterfinals of the 2023 Australian Open at the age of 20. This achievement made him the youngest American man to reach the Australian Open quarterfinals since Tim Giammalva Jr. in 1982, as well as the youngest American man to reach a Grand Slam quarterfinal since Andy Roddick at the 2002 US Open.

Before turning professional, Shelton had an impressive college career at the University of Florida. Over his two seasons playing for the university, Shelton accumulated a remarkable 65-10 singles record. During this time, he helped the team capture the 2021 NCAA team title and also clinched the 2022 NCAA singles title. Shelton was coached by his father, Bryan Shelton, who himself had reached a career-high ranking of 55 in the world.

As Shelton prepares to face Navone, it is worth noting that Shelton maintains an unbeaten 9-0 record against Argentines in tour-level matches. Recently, in the Munich semifinals, he secured a victory over 22nd ranked Francisco Cerundolo. Shelton also aims to become the first American man to reach a clay court final above the ATP 250 level since Andre Agassi accomplished the feat at the 2002 ATP Masters 1000 Rome tournament. In the previous year, Shelton recorded victories over Machac in the second round before falling to Bublik in the third round.

On the other side of the net, Mariano Navone, a 24-year-old tennis player from Argentina, currently holds the world number 85 ranking. His career-high ranking was number 29, achieved in June 2024 after securing his sixth Challenger title in Cagliari. In an impressive debut at the 2024 Roland Garros, Navone became the first man in the Open Era to be seeded in his first Grand Slam main draw appearance. He also recorded a notable victory over Carreno Busta in the first round of that tournament.

Navone’s breakthrough on the ATP Tour came at the 2024 Rio de Janeiro event, where he earned his first tour-level win. Navone advanced to the quarterfinals, semifinals, and eventually the final as a qualifier. Along the way, he defeated clay-court champions Darderi, Seyboth Wild, and Francisco Cerundolo. Navone also made his ATP Tour debut on home soil as a wild card at the 2024 Cordoba event. In Buenos Aires, he achieved his biggest career win over number 12 ranked Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune in the second round. However, Navone was unable to capitalize on this success and lost a close quarterfinal match to eventual champion Fonseca after holding two match points.

In terms of his performance on the Challenger circuit, Navone had an outstanding 2023 season. He posted a 40-18 win-loss record and ended the season with a 19-2 run of victories. Navone led all players with five Challenger titles, triumphing in Poznan, Santa Fe, Santa Cruz, Buenos Aires, and Santa Fe-2. As a player who began playing tennis at the age of 3, Navone is sometimes affectionately referred to as “La Navoneta.”

Notably, Navone has struggled in ATP Masters 1000 events, currently having a 3-9 win-loss record. However, he does boast victories over Alexei Popyrin in the first round of the 2024 Madrid tournament and Mpetshi Perricard in the first round of the current Madrid event. Navone has a 2-8 record against top 20 players, with both victories coming this year against number 12 ranked Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune in the second round of Buenos Aires and number 19 ranked Felix Auger-Aliassime in the first round of Munich. Navone aims to progress to his first ATP Masters 1000 third round in this match against Shelton.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Shelton will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Ben Shelton vs Mariano Navone, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Ben Shelton vs Mariano Navone prediction.