

What Time Will Denis Shapovalov Play Against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina?
Shapovalov and Fokina are on the Day 5 Schedule at Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025 on Friday 28 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are facing each other in the R64 of the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells tournament. Shapovalov currently leads the head-to-head record 1-0.
Shapovalov, a 25-year-old Canadian player, is ranked World No. 32. He reached a career-high ranking of No. 10 and has had a successful 2025 season with a record of 10-3, including a title at Dallas and a semi-final appearance at Acapulco. He made history in 2020 as the first Canadian men’s singles quarter-finalist at the US Open and became the second Canadian man to break into the Top 10 after Raonic. He achieved his first Grand Slam semi-final at Wimbledon in 2021, defeating Murray and earning impressive wins over Kohlschreiber and Khachanov. Shapovalov has also reached the final of the 2019 Paris tournament and four other ATP Masters 1000 semi-finals, including a memorable upset over Nadal at the 2017 Montreal tournament when he became the youngest semi-finalist in its history at the age of 18. He has won all three of his ATP Tour titles on indoor hard courts, including his recent victory at Dallas. Additionally, he won the 2016 Wimbledon boys’ singles title and quickly rose to the Top 50 of the ATP Rankings. Shapovalov is currently on an 8-match winning streak and is seeking his ninth ATP Tour final.
Davidovich Fokina, a 25-year-old Spanish player, is ranked World No. 48. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 21 in August 2023 and has continuously improved his year-end ranking for eight consecutive years, finishing at No. 26 in 2023. He reached his first ATP Tour final at the 2022 Monte Carlo Masters, defeating Djokovic in the second round and setting a record for the most breaks of Djokovic in a best-of-3-set match. He made his first Grand Slam quarter-final appearance at the 2021 Roland Garros and his first ATP Masters 1000 quarter-final at the 2021 Monte Carlo, with notable victories over Ruud in Roland Garros. In his junior career, he achieved the World No. 2 ranking after winning the Wimbledon boys’ singles title in 2017. Outside of tennis, Davidovich Fokina is known for his love of cats and his involvement in launching Adoptas.org, a pet adoption platform in Spain. In his recent matches, he saved four match points against Bellucci in the first round of the tournament. He currently has a 12-5 record in 2025, including reaching the final of the Delray Beach tournament. However, he has previously lost from match points up on eight occasions in his career. Davidovich Fokina has a 6-3 record against Top 50 players this year, a significant improvement from his 3-16 record against the Top 50 last year.
In terms of ATP Tour win leaders for 2025, Felix Auger-Aliassime leads with 16 wins and titles at Adelaide and Montpellier. Jiri Lehecka and Alex de Minaur follow with 13 wins each, while Zizou Bergs, Alexander Zverev, and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina have 12 wins each.
Overall, this match between Shapovalov and Davidovich Fokina could potentially lead them to their respective singles finals in the tournament.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Shapovalov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction.






