Prediction Of Ruud Vs Medvedev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Casper Ruud Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Ruud and Medvedev are on the Day 9 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Thursday 1 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev have faced off three times in their careers, with Medvedev emerging victorious in all three encounters. Their most recent match took place at the ATP Cup in Australia on a hard court, with Medvedev prevailing 6-3 7-6(6). They also met at the Mallorca Open on grass, where Medvedev won 7-5 6-1, and at the Nitto ATP Finals in Italy, where the Russian player triumphed 6-4 6-2.

Casper Ruud, a 26-year-old Norwegian player, is currently ranked world no. 15, with his career-high ranking being no. 2. In 2025, he has accumulated a win-loss record of 18-6, including a runner-up finish at the Dallas tournament. Ruud made history as the highest-ranked Norwegian in tennis, reaching no. 2 after losing to Alcaraz in the 2022 US Open final, where the world no. 1 ranking was at stake. He has a number of significant achievements to his name: he became the first Norwegian to win an ATP Tour title (12 titles in total), play at the Nitto ATP Finals (reaching the semifinals in 2021 and 2024, and the final in 2022), reach a Grand Slam final (2022-2023 Roland Garros and 2023 US Open), and reach an ATP Masters 1000 final (2022 Miami and 2024 Monte-Carlo). Ruud’s dominance on clay is notable, as he swept clay-court titles at Bastad, Gstaad, and Kitzbuhel in July 2021. He holds several records on clay since the start of the 2020 season, leading the ATP Tour in clay-court wins (122), finals (16), and titles (11). One of the highlights of his career was defeating world no. 1 Djokovic on his way to the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo final. Ruud has an excellent quarterfinals record in clay ATP Masters 1000 events, winning all six of his matches in this stage. He is also strong against top 10 players on clay, boasting a 4-1 record against them since the beginning of the 2024 season, with his only loss being to Alexander Zverev in the Roland Garros semifinals.

Since the start of the 2020 season, Casper Ruud leads the clay win leaders, with an impressive win-loss record of 122-35. The next closest players are Stefanos Tsitsipas, Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, and Sebastian Baez.

Daniil Medvedev, a 29-year-old Russian player, is currently ranked world no. 10, with his career-high ranking being no. 1. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 16-8, reaching two semifinals. Medvedev made history by spending 16 weeks as the world no. 1 in 2022, becoming the tallest player to hold that position at 1.98m (6’6″). He also became the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to achieve the no. 1 ranking since 2004, when Andy Roddick held the top spot. Medvedev has reached six Grand Slam finals and has a positive head-to-head record against Djokovic when the Serbian player is world no. 1, including a straight-sets victory in the 2021 US Open final that prevented Djokovic from achieving the calendar Grand Slam. In 2020, Medvedev became the first player to sweep the top 3 players (Djokovic, Nadal, and Thiem) en route to winning the Nitto ATP Finals. He also had a stellar 2021 season, amassing 63 victories and winning team titles at the ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup. Most of his 20 singles titles have come on hard courts, including ATP Masters 1000 championships at Cincinnati, Shanghai, Paris, Toronto, Miami, and Rome. It is worth noting that his title in Rome marked his first title on clay. Medvedev aims to reach the semifinals at all nine ATP Masters 1000 events, with Madrid being the only tournament where he has not achieved this feat yet. He is seeking his 59th tour-level semifinal, and he has reached the semifinals on clay at Monte-Carlo, Barcelona, and Rome. His victory against world no. 11 Paul at the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells marked his first top 20 win of the year. A win in this match would ensure Medvedev’s stay in the top 10 when the rankings are updated.

In summary, Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev have had three previous encounters, all ending in favor of Medvedev. Ruud has established himself as the top-ranked Norwegian player in history, achieving a career-high ranking of no. 2. He has impressive achievements, including winning 12 ATP Tour titles, reaching the Nitto ATP Finals and Grand Slam and ATP Masters 1000 finals, and enjoying success on clay. Medvedev, on the other hand, has spent time as the world no. 1 and has reached six Grand Slam finals. He has been successful on hard courts and has gradually improved his performances on clay. They now face each other again, with Ruud hoping to end his losing streak against Medvedev and continue his success on clay, while Medvedev aims to reach the semifinals in Madrid and secure his top 10 status.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Ruud will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.