Prediction Of Ruud Vs Draper H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Casper Ruud Play Against Jack Draper?

Ruud and Draper are on the Day 12 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Sunday 4 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the first meeting between Casper Ruud and Jack Draper, Casper Ruud, a 26-year-old Norwegian, currently ranked No. 15 in the world, will be facing off against Jack Draper, a 23-year-old British player who is ranked No. 6 in the world, his career-high ranking.

Casper Ruud made history as the top-ranked Norwegian player by reaching a career-high No. 2 ranking. He achieved this after losing to Alcaraz in the 2022 US Open final, where the No. 1 ranking was at stake. He became the first Norwegian player to win an ATP Tour title, with a total of 12 titles under his belt. He has also played at the Nitto ATP Finals, reaching the semifinals in 2021, the final in 2022, and the semifinals again in 2024. Ruud has reached both a Grand Slam final (in 2022-23 at Roland Garros and in 2023 at the US Open) and an ATP Masters 1000 final, achieving this feat three times. In July 2021, he swept clay-court titles at Bastad, Gstaad, and Kitzbuhel, becoming the first player in a decade to win three titles in as many weeks. Ruud holds several records on clay, including the most clay-court wins, finals, and titles since the start of the 2020 season. He defeated World No. 1 Djokovic on his way to the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo final, marking the biggest win of his career. Ruud aims to capture his 13th ATP Tour title in Madrid, which would be his biggest title yet. Furthermore, if he wins the final, he will return to the No. 7 ranking, and a final appearance alone will bring him back into the Top 10, at No. 10.

Regarding clay-court statistics since the start of the 2020 season, Casper Ruud leads with 124 wins on clay, along with 11 titles. Alexander Zverev follows with 87 wins and 4 titles.

In terms of Scandinavian ATP Masters 1000 champions, Ruud aims to become the first Norwegian to join the list, which has been dominated by Swedish players. Some notable players on this list include Stefan Edberg, Thomas Enqvist, Thomas Johansson, Magnus Norman, Mikael Pernfors, Holger Rune, and Robin Soderling.

On the other hand, Jack Draper, a 23-year-old British player, achieved his career-high ranking of No. 6 in April 2025. During the 2022 season, he broke into the Top 200 in February, the Top 100 in June, and the Top 50 in September. He captured his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells, which led him to reach his career-high ranking. He made it to the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without dropping a set, becoming the fourth British man to achieve this in the Open Era. Draper won his first ATP Tour title by defeating two-time champion Berrettini in the 2024 Stuttgart final and showcased his potential by defeating No. 2 Alcaraz at Queen’s Club in back-to-back weeks. He also won his second title at the 2024 Vienna tournament. In 2022, Draper achieved several milestones, including reaching his first ATP Tour semifinal at Eastbourne as a wildcard, defeating No. 5 Tsitsipas en route to the Montreal quarterfinals as a qualifier, and reaching the third round of the US Open by defeating No. 8 Auger-Aliassime. He ended his junior career by reaching the Wimbledon boys’ singles final in 2018, achieving a career-high ranking of No. 7. In recent events, he has shown a strong performance against players ranked outside the Top 10, with a record of 23-2 since October.

In terms of British ATP Masters 1000 champions, Andy Murray leads with 14 titles, including two on clay. Draper himself clinched his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells in 2025. Other notable British champions include Tim Henman, Cameron Norrie, and Greg Rusedski.

Both Ruud and Draper have displayed their prowess on different surfaces, including clay and hard courts. In the clay and hard court ATP Masters 1000 titles achieved in one season within the last 20 years, players such as Novak Djokovic, Andy Murray, Rafael Nadal, Carlos Alcaraz, Roger Federer, and Alexander Zverev have excelled.

Looking at their statistics in the 2025 Madrid tournament, Ruud managed 14 aces and hit 92 winners, while Draper hit 19 aces and 85 winners. Ruud made 89 unforced errors, while Draper made 67. Draper also had a higher net points won percentage at 74% compared to Ruud’s 62%. In terms of serving, Draper had a slightly faster serve at 223 km/h (138 mph) compared to Ruud’s 220 km/h (136 mph). Both players had high first-serve percentages, with Ruud at 66% and Draper at 62%. However, Draper had a higher first-serve points won percentage at 79% while Ruud had 71%. In terms of second-serve points won, Draper again had the advantage with 66% compared to Ruud’s 56%. Draper also had a higher service games won percentage at 95% compared to Ruud’s 88%. When it comes to break points, Ruud saved 80% of break points compared to Draper’s 67%. In terms of returning, Ruud had a 32% first-serve return points won percentage compared to Draper’s 34%, while Draper had a 57% second-serve return points won percentage compared to Ruud’s 52%. Draper also had a higher return games won percentage at 32% compared to Ruud’s 34%. Lastly, Ruud had a higher break points converted percentage at 49% compared to Draper’s 41%.

The time on court for Ruud in the tournament so far has been 7 hours and 36 minutes, while Draper has spent 6 hours and 38 minutes on court.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Ruud will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper prediction.