Prediction Of Rune Vs Nakashima H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025?

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Brandon Nakashima?

Rune and Nakashima are on the Day 3 Schedule at Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025 on Wednesday 26 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their head-to-head matchups, Brandon Nakashima leads 3-0 against Holger Rune. The first match took place at the Next Gen ATP Finals in Italy on hard court, with Nakashima winning 3-4(3), 4-1, 4-1, 4-3(1). They then faced each other at the ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in China on hard court, where Nakashima won convincingly with a score of 6-0, 6-2. Their most recent encounter was at the US Open in the United States on hard court, with Nakashima once again emerging victorious, winning 6-2, 6-1, 6-4.

Holger Rune, a 21-year-old Danish player, currently holds the world No. 13 ranking with a career-high of No. 4. He achieved numerous milestones in his career, including breaking into the Top 100 in January 2022, Top 50 in May 2022, and Top 10 in November 2022, becoming the highest-ranked Dane in PIF ATP Rankings history. Rune also captured the ATP Masters 1000 Paris title in 2022 at the age of 19, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour to earn five Top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals. He had a successful run from 2022 Paris to 2023 Rome, compiling an 18-5 record in six ATP Masters 1000 events and securing runner-up results in Monte-Carlo and Rome.

Rune boasts a 7-match winning streak against top 5 opponents, starting his career with a 7-1 record. Among his notable wins, he defeated No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris and No. 1 Novak Djokovic at the ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2023. Despite a rocky start to the seasons of 2022 and 2023, Rune ended the 2022 season with a 19-2 run and reached the quarterfinals of the 2022 Roland Garros, making history as the first Danish man to accomplish this feat. Rune is now making his third appearance in Acapulco, having reached the semifinals in both of his previous attempts.

On the other hand, Brandon Nakashima, a 23-year-old American player, currently holds the world No. 42 ranking with a career-high of No. 35. Nakashima broke into the Top 50 in July 2022 and achieved his career-high ranking in September 2024. He earned wins over Rune and No. 18 Musetti en route to reaching the fourth round of the US Open. Nakashima captured the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals title in Milan after reaching the semifinals in the previous year. He also won his first ATP Tour title in his hometown of San Diego in 2022. Nakashima has had success in reaching multiple finals at the age of 19, becoming the youngest American player to do so since Andy Roddick in 2001-2002.

Nakashima had notable performances in Grand Slam tournaments, reaching the third round of Roland Garros, the fourth round of Wimbledon, and the third round of the US Open in 2022. He achieved his first Top 20 wins by defeating No. 16 Denis Shapovalov at Wimbledon and No. 19 Grigor Dimitrov at the US Open. Nakashima seeks his 100th tour-level win, and though he has a 12-22 record against Top 20 players, he aims to secure his first Top 20 win since defeating No. 12 Tommy Paul in Vienna.

In terms of career win leaders among players born since 2000, Holger Rune has accumulated 145 wins, while Brandon Nakashima has 99 wins.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Brandon Nakashima prediction.