Prediction Of Rune Vs Draper H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Holger Rune Play Against Jack Draper?

Rune and Draper are on the Day 12 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Sunday 16 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the quarterfinals of the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati tournament, Holger Rune from Denmark, ranked 12th in the PIF ATP Live Rankings, faced Jack Draper from Great Britain, ranked 8th. Rune had a 1-0 lead in their head-to-head matchups.

Rune, who is 21 years old and currently ranked 13th in the world, has had a successful career so far. He reached his career-high ranking of No. 4 in August 2023, making him the highest-ranked Danish player in ATP Rankings history. In 2022, he won the ATP Masters 1000 Paris title at the age of 19, becoming the first player since the start of the ATP Tour in 1990 to earn five Top-10 wins at an event other than the Nitto ATP Finals. From 2022 to 2023, he had a record of 18-5 in ATP Masters 1000 events, finishing as the runner-up in Monte-Carlo and Rome. He had a 7-match winning streak against Top 5 opponents, including victories over World No. 1 players Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic. Rune ended the 2022 season on a high note, winning 19 out of his last 21 matches. He also made history by reaching the quarterfinals of the 2022 Roland Garros, becoming the first Danish man to achieve this feat in tournament history and the first Danish player to reach a Grand Slam quarterfinal in the Open Era.

Rune’s goal in the tournament is to win his fifth ATP Tour title and his second at the ATP Masters 1000 level (he previously won in Paris in 2022). A victory in Indian Wells would propel him to No. 8 in the rankings, returning him to the Top 10 for the first time since April of the previous year. Rune is also aiming to become the first Scandinavian champion in Indian Wells since Stefan Edberg in 1990.

On the other side of the court is Jack Draper, a 23-year-old British player ranked 14th in the world. Draper achieved a career-high ranking of No. 12 in February 2025. He made it to the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without dropping a set, becoming the fourth British man in the Open Era to reach that stage of the tournament. He captured his first ATP Tour title by defeating Matteo Berrettini in the final of the 2024 Stuttgart tournament, and he secured his biggest win to date by defeating World No. 2 Carlos Alcaraz at Queen’s Club. Draper won the biggest title of his career at the 2024 Vienna tournament, becoming the first man to win the tournament on his debut since Andy Murray in 2014. In 2022, he reached his first ATP Tour semifinal as a Wild Card in Eastbourne and earned Top 10 victories over Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime.

Draper is playing in his first ATP Masters 1000 final and aims to win his third ATP Tour title, which would be the biggest of his career. He defeated World No. 4 Taylor Fritz in the fourth round and then defeated the defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the semifinals. Draper will make his Top 10 debut in the ATP rankings on Monday, and a victory would further boost his ranking to No. 7.

During the tournament, Rune and Draper’s statistics were compared. Rune held the advantage in six out of the ten categories, including aces, first-serve percentage, first-serve points won, service games won, break points saved, and break points converted.

In summary, the tournament final featured a showdown between Holger Rune of Denmark, who had a 1-0 lead in their previous head-to-head matchup, and Jack Draper of Great Britain. Rune had a successful career, with a notable victory at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris tournament in 2022 and a high ranking of No. 4. Draper, on the other hand, was playing in his first ATP Masters 1000 final and had recently achieved his highest ranking to date. Rune held the advantage in six statistical categories between the two players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Rune will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Holger Rune vs Jack Draper, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Holger Rune vs Jack Draper prediction.