Prediction Of Perricard Vs Navone H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Play Against Mariano Navone?

Perricard and Navone are on the Day 1 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Wednesday 23 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard from France will be facing Mariano Navone from Argentina for the first time at the tour-level match. However, they did have a previous meeting at the 22 Lima-2 CH Q (Peru) on clay, where Mpetshi Perricard won with a score of 1-6, 6-2, 6-3.

When analyzing their 52-week averages, Mpetshi Perricard seems to have an advantage in multiple categories. In terms of attack conversion, he has a 32% conversion rate compared to Navone’s 22%. Mpetshi Perricard also has a higher score steal score on serve quality (9.5 compared to 7.3) and forehand quality (6.7 compared to 7.1). Navone, on the other hand, has a slightly higher return quality (6.9 compared to 6.3) and backhand quality (6.2 compared to 5.1). The tour average for these categories is 24% for attack conversion, 69% for score steal score on serve quality, 31% for forehand quality, and 7.9, 7.5, and 7.1 for return quality, backhand quality, and serve quality, respectively.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is 21 years old and currently ranked 37th in the world. His career-high ranking was 29th, achieved in February 2025. In 2025, he reached the semi-finals in Brisbane and will be making his debut in Madrid. It is worth noting that Mpetshi Perricard had a remarkable rise in rankings, starting the 2024 season at No. 205 and breaking into the Top 100 in May, Top 50 in July, and reaching a peak of No. 29.

Mpetshi Perricard has a strong record against top 20 players, with a 6-2 record, including wins over former champion Auger-Aliassime and No. 14 Rune on his way to winning the 2024 Basel title without dropping a single serve throughout the tournament (winning all 60 service games). He also won his first ATP Tour title in his hometown of Lyon in 2024 as a wildcard ranked 117th, saving a championship point in the process. He made his first Grand Slam main draw win as a lucky loser at the 2024 Wimbledon, defeating No. 21 Korda in the first round. Furthermore, he has achieved success in the Challenger circuit, with a record of 50-33 and winning titles at Leon, Nottingham, Cuernavaca, and Acapulco.

Mariano Navone, 24 years old and ranked 85th in the world, had reached a career-high ranking of 29th in June 2024. He broke into the Top 200 in June 2023, Top 100 in February 2024, and Top 50 in April 2024. He achieved this milestone after winning his sixth Challenger title in Cagliari. Navone made history as the first man in the Open Era to be seeded in his Grand Slam main draw debut at the 2024 Roland Garros, where he defeated Carreno Busta in the first round. He earned his first ATP Tour win and reached his first quarterfinal, semifinal, and final at the 2024 Rio de Janeiro. He also made his ATP Tour debut at the 2024 Cordoba as a wildcard and earned the biggest win of his career against No. 12 Rune in the 2025 Buenos Aires 2R. Navone has a strong record in the Challenger circuit, posting a 40-18 record in 2023 and winning five titles in Poznan, Santa Fe, Santa Cruz, Buenos Aires, and Santa Fe-2.

It is important to note that Mpetshi Perricard earned all four of his clay ATP Tour wins on his way to his first title in Lyon in May of last year. Since then, he has been on a four-match losing streak, with his last win coming against Marozsan in the Indian Wells 2R via RET. Navone, on the other hand, has a record of 2-9 on the ATP Masters 1000 level and earned his first win by defeating Popyrin in the Madrid 1R last year (losing to Rune in three sets). This year, he has won six out of his nine tour-level matches on clay, including notable victories against No. 12 Rune in the Buenos Aires 2R and No. 19 Auger-Aliassime in the Munich 1R last week.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Perricard will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Mariano Navone, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Mariano Navone prediction.