

What Time Will Tommy Paul Play Against Colton Smith?
Paul and Smith are on the Day 5 Schedule at Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.s. Men’s Clay Court Championship 2025 on Friday 4 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Tommy Paul, a 27-year-old tennis player from the USA, is currently ranked World No. 13 and has previously achieved a career-high ranking of No. 9 in January 2025. In 2024, he had an impressive season, winning a personal-best 45 matches, including his biggest victory at the ATP Tour title in London/Queen’s Club. He made history in the 2023 Australian Open by becoming the first American man to reach the semifinals since Roddick in 2009. Along the way, he also defeated his junior rivals, Fritz and Tiafoe, and went on to win his first ATP Tour final and title in Stockholm in 2021. The following year, he clinched titles in Dallas, London/Queen’s Club, and Stockholm, and reached the semifinals in ATP Masters 1000 events in Indian Wells and Rome, where he even defeated the reigning champion, Medvedev. As a junior, he won the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ singles title and reached the finals in the boys’ doubles and singles events at the same tournament.
The Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men’s Clay Court Championship is taking place at the River Oaks Country Club in Houston, TX, USA, from March 31 to April 6, 2025. Tommy Paul aims to reach his 17th tour-level semifinal, with two of them being on clay courts in 2021 (Parma) and 2024 (ATP Masters 1000 Rome). In recent matches, he has an impressive record of 17-1 against players ranked outside the top 100 since August 2023, with his only loss coming from No. 204 Damm due to retirement at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Miami.
Pedro Martinez Portero
Brandon Nakashima
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Alex De Minaur
Borna Coric
Ethan Quinn
Lorenzo Musetti
Carlos Alcaraz
Damir Dzumhur
Cameron Norrie
Borna Gojo
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Zverev
Alexandre Muller
Mariano Navone
Felix Auger Aliassime
Tomas Machac
Frances Tiafoe
Erika Andreeva
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Alexander Bublik
Diego Dedura-Palomero
Chun Hsin Tseng
Billy Harris
Hamad Medjedovic
Gabriel Diallo
Learner Tien
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Jana Fett
Rebeka Masarova
On the other hand, Colton Smith, a 22-year-old American player, currently holds a world ranking of No. 200. He reached his career-high ranking in March 2025 after making it to the quarterfinals of the Phoenix CH tournament, where he was defeated by the two-time defending champion, Borges. In the 2023-24 season, while representing the University of Arizona, he earned ITA All-American honors and reached the Final Four of the NCAA Singles Championship, achieving a singles ranking of No. 5 in November 2023. Smith qualified for the 2025 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells and even won a match against No. 40 Cobolli to reach the second round. Additionally, he has a successful record in the Challenger tour, with a 17-8 win-loss record, including a Cleveland title in 2025 and a runner-up finish in Sioux Falls in 2024. As a junior, he made it to the third round of the 2021 US Open boys’ singles as a wildcard entry.
This is the first ATP Tour quarterfinal for Colton Smith, and he is facing a Top 30 player for the first time in his career. He has yet to have his serve broken in the four matches he has played in Houston, saving all six break points faced, including in the qualifying rounds.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Paul will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Tommy Paul vs Colton Smith, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Tommy Paul vs Colton Smith prediction.