Prediction Of Paul Vs Opelka H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Dallas Open 2025?

What Time Will Tommy Paul Play Against Reilly Opelka?

Paul and Opelka are on the Day 5 Schedule at Dallas Open 2025 on Friday 7 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Tommy Paul and Reilly Opelka will face each other in their first ever tour-level meeting. However, they have previously met in the 2018 Champaign CH tournament, where Opelka emerged victorious with a come-from-behind 2-6 6-4 6-4 win on hard court.

Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilize algorithmic software to process real-time ball and player tracking data. This technology calculates various aspects of each shot, such as shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic. More information about these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights.

According to the Insights data from the last 52 weeks, Opelka has a higher In Attack score of 32% compared to Paul’s 24%. Opelka also excels in conversion score and steal score, with 65% and 25% respectively. Furthermore, Opelka displays impressive serve quality and a powerful forehand, with scores above the tour average. On the other hand, Paul shines in return quality and backhand quality, surpassing both Opelka and the tour average.

Opelka’s big serve, with an average first serve speed of 128mph and second serve speed of 109mph, is a weapon he uses effectively to set up his high In Attack score. However, Paul is known for his defensive abilities and has a steal score of 35%, showcasing his ability to disrupt his opponent’s game. Additionally, Paul is ranked in the Top 10 for return quality on the tour and dominates in the backhand quality contest.

Tommy Paul, 27 years old and currently ranked World No. 9, achieved his career-high ranking in January 2025. In the 2024 season, he recorded a personal-best of 45 wins and secured his biggest ATP Tour title at London/Queen’s Club. Paul has a 7-14 record against top 5 players, including a significant victory over No. 1 Alcaraz that led him to his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal in 2023 Toronto. He has also made a name for himself as the first American man to reach the semifinals of the Australian Open since Roddick in 2009. In 2024, Paul claimed titles in Dallas, London/Queen’s Club, and Stockholm, and reached the semifinals of ATP Masters 1000 in Indian Wells and Rome, where he defeated the defending champion, No. 4 Medvedev.

Reilly Opelka, also 27 years old, is currently ranked World No. 145, with a career-high ranking of No. 17. He became the No. 1 American player in June 2021 and reached his career-high ranking in February 2022 before undergoing hip surgery later that year. Opelka has had notable victories throughout his career, including defeating Isner for his fourth ATP 250 title in 2022 Houston, winning the longest tiebreak in ATP Tour history. He has also saved match points and displayed his powerful game at tournaments such as the 2020 Delray Beach and the 2019 New York, where he hit a remarkable 43 aces in both the semifinal and the final to claim his first title. Opelka has defeated top-ranked players before, including an upset win against No. 3 Tsitsipas at the 2021 Toronto to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 final.

In their upcoming match, Tommy Paul aims to reach his 16th tour-level semifinal and enhance his impressive indoor record, while Reilly Opelka seeks his second top 10 win of 2025. Opelka has previously defeated Shevchenko and Norrie in this tournament, extending his winning streak to six matches after winning the title in his previous appearance in 2022. Opelka has an 8-12 record against the top 10 players in his career and looks to secure another top 10 win after defeating No. 7 Djokovic in the Brisbane quarterfinals and No. 9 Isner at the 2019 New York.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Paul will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Tommy Paul vs Reilly Opelka, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Tommy Paul vs Reilly Opelka prediction.