

What Time Will Tommy Paul Play Against Manuel Guinard?
Paul and Guinard are on the Day 3 Schedule at Adelaide International 2025 on Wednesday 8 January 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.
Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?
Tommy Paul, a 27-year-old American tennis player currently ranked World No. 12, will be facing off against Manuel Guinard from France. This will be their first meeting on the court.
Tommy Paul’s career highlights include reaching a career-high rank of No. 12 in October 2023. Earlier that year, he became the first American man since Roddick in 2009 to reach the semifinals of the Australian Open. He has a record of 7-13 against top 5 players, with his biggest win being against No. 1 Alcaraz at the 2023 Toronto ATP Masters 1000, which helped him reach his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal. In 2021, he achieved another milestone by defeating his junior rivals Fritz and Tiafoe on his way to winning his first ATP Tour final and title at the Stockholm tournament. He further showcased his skills by capturing his second ATP Tour title at the 2024 Dallas tournament and reaching ATP Masters 1000 semifinals at Indian Wells and Rome in the same year. Paul has had some notable upsets at ATP Masters 1000 events, including victories over Nadal, A. Zverev, and Alcaraz. In his junior career, he won the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ singles title and reached the finals in both the boys’ doubles and singles events at Roland Garros and the US Open.
Notably, this is the third time in Paul’s career that he is seeded No.1 at an ATP Tour event. In 2023, he reached the quarterfinals at Newport and Adelaide, losing to No. 204 Damm at ATP Masters 1000 Miami. Paul had a strong record against players ranked outside the top 100 last year, going 9-1. However, he suffered a retirement against Damm in Miami.
Manuel Guinard, a 29-year-old French player, is currently ranked World No. 261. He broke into the Top 200 in March 2022 and achieved his career-high rank of No. 134 in October of the same year. Guinard made his debut in a Grand Slam main draw at Roland Garros. He qualified for the 2022 Lyon tournament and reached his first ATP Tour quarterfinal after defeating Gaston and Mmoh. In addition, Guinard has had success in ITF events, winning 10 out of 12 finals and securing his 9th ITF World Tennis Tour title at the 2021 Prague tournament. He made his debut in the doubles Top 100 in June 2024, reaching the finals of ATP Tour tournaments in Bastad and Umag alongside his partner Jacq. Guinard earned his career-high doubles rank of No. 66 in January 2025.
Guinard will be looking to reach his second ATP Tour quarterfinal after his previous success at the 2022 Lyon tournament where he eventually lost to Rune. He hopes to secure the biggest win of his career as his record against top 50 players stands at 0-4. His notable victory came against No. 59 Fognini at the 2022 Gijon tournament. If Guinard manages to progress to the quarterfinals, he will be the lowest-ranked player in the history of the event to achieve this feat.
The lowest-ranked quarterfinalists in Adelaide’s history so far include Thanasi Kokkinakis in 2022 (ranked 171, reached the semifinals), Aleksandar Vukic in 2022 (ranked 160, reached the quarterfinals), Botic van de Zandschulp in 2021 (ranked 159, reached the quarterfinals), and Alex Bolt in 2020 (ranked 157, reached the quarterfinals).
It will be exciting to see how this matchup between Tommy Paul and Manuel Guinard unfolds, with both players bringing their own strengths and achievements to the court.
My Conclusion / Prediction:
My pick is that Paul will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.
To find out who our model thinks will win for Tommy Paul vs Manuel Guinard, have a look at the prediction here:
Matchstat.com Tommy Paul vs Manuel Guinard prediction.







