Prediction Of Paul Vs Arnaldi H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships 2024?

What Time Will Tommy Paul Play Against Matteo Arnaldi?

Paul and Arnaldi are on the Day 2 Schedule at Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships 2024 on Thursday 26 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[5] Tommy Paul (USA) will be facing Matteo Arnaldi (ITA) for the first time in their careers.
Tommy Paul, aged 27, is currently ranked world number 13 and has achieved a career-high ranking of number 12. In 2024, he has recorded a win-loss record of 38-15, including two titles. At the 2023 Australian Open, he became the first American man since Roddick in 2009 to reach the semifinals. His highest ranking was achieved in October 2023 after this achievement.
Paul has a record of 7-13 against top 5 players, with his most significant win being against world number 1, Alcaraz, which led him to his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinals in 2023 Toronto. He defeated his junior rivals Fritz and Tiafoe on his way to his first ATP Tour final and title in 2021 Stockholm. Additionally, he captured his second ATP Tour title in 2024 Dallas and reached the semifinals in ATP Masters 1000 events at Indian Wells and Rome, where he defeated defending champion Medvedev in the 4th round.
In the 2022 ATP Masters 1000 events, Paul caused upsets by defeating Nadal in the Paris 2nd round, A. Zverev in the Indian Wells 2nd round, and Alcaraz in the Montreal 2nd round.
Furthermore, Paul has a successful junior career, winning the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ singles title, reaching the final of the 2015 Roland Garros boys’ doubles with Blumberg, and reaching the final of the 2015 US Open boys’ singles (losing to Fritz).
It is worth noting that in 2024, Paul has a strong record of 14-3 in opening-round matches, including 7-3 on hard courts. He was eliminated in the quarterfinals of the 2023 Tokyo tournament by eventual champion Shelton. Paul is one of the seven remaining American players in this year’s draw.
On the other hand, Matteo Arnaldi, aged 23, is currently ranked world number 33 and has achieved a career-high ranking of number 30 in April 2024. His win-loss record for the year stands at 27-21, with his best performance being a semifinal appearance in Montreal.
Arnaldi’s breakthrough came in September 2021 when he entered the top 500 rankings. He then reached the top 200 in August 2022 and the top 100 in May 2023. His first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal came at the 2023 Umag tournament, and he reached the fourth round of a Grand Slam for the first time at the 2023 US Open.
He qualified for the third round at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid, where he achieved the biggest win of his career by defeating Ruud, just a week after earning his first ATP Tour win at the 2023 Barcelona tournament against Munar.
In his career, Arnaldi has a 59-39 record in Challenger tournaments, including 4-2 in finals. He claimed his first title on home soil in Francavilla al Mare. In juniors, he reached a career-high ranking of number 22 and had a singles record of 80-42 with three titles, as well as a doubles record of 34-35 with two titles.
Currently, Arnaldi has a record of 4-4 in his last eight matches against top 20 players, with his last victory coming against the 16th-ranked Humbert at the London/Queen’s Club in June. He aims to become the first Italian player, alongside Berrettini (who defeated van de Zandschulp in the 1st round), to win a match in Tokyo since Seppi in 2010.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Paul will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction.