Prediction Of Opelka Vs Hijikata H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Reilly Opelka Play Against Rinky Hijikata?

Opelka and Hijikata are on the Day 2 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Thursday 24 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

[PR] Reilly Opelka (USA) and [LL] Rinky Hijikata (AUS) will face each other for the first time.
Insights from their 52-week averages show the following statistics:
– Opelka has a 31% conversion rate in attack, a 64% score steal rate, and a 24% serve quality. His forehand quality is 9.1, backhand quality is 5.5, and return quality is 6.6.
– Hijikata has a 21% conversion rate in attack, a 65% score steal rate, and a 34% serve quality. His forehand quality is 7.2, backhand quality is 6.0, and return quality is 7.0.
– The tour average for these statistics is a 24% conversion rate in attack, a 69% score steal rate, and a 31% serve quality. The average forehand quality is 7.9, backhand quality is 6.5, and return quality is 7.5.

Reilly Opelka, age 27, is currently ranked No. 103 in the world with a career-high ranking of No. 17. In 2025, he has a record of 10-7, reaching the final in Brisbane and going 1-3 in Madrid in 2019. Opelka became the No. 1 American player in June 2021 and achieved his career-high ranking in February 2022, but later had hip surgery.
– Opelka defeated Isner for his fourth ATP 250 title on American soil in 2022 Houston, and also won the 2022 Dallas title with a victory over Isner, winning the longest tiebreak in ATP Tour history.
– In the 2020 Delray Beach tournament, Opelka saved match point against Raonic and went on to win his second title of his career.
– He had an impressive performance at the 2019 New York tournament, saving 6 match points against Isner in the semifinals and hitting 43 aces. He then hit another 43 aces in the final against Schnur to win his first title.
– Opelka had a significant upset over No. 3 Tsitsipas at the 2021 Toronto tournament, which was the biggest win of his career and led him to his first ATP Masters 1000 final. He also defeated No. 7 Djokovic in the 2025 Brisbane tournament, breaking Djokovic’s 34-match winning streak against Americans.
– It’s worth noting that Opelka is looking for his first clay court win since reaching the 2022 Geneva semifinals and his first ATP Masters 1000 win on clay since the 2021 Rome semifinals. He has a record of 6-11 against Australians on the tour level, and has only won one match in Madrid, defeating Carreno Busta in the 2019 first round as a qualifier, but losing in the first round in 2021 and 2022.

Rinky Hijikata, age 24, is currently ranked No. 84 in the world with a career-high ranking of No. 62. In 2025, he has a record of 5-9, reaching the quarterfinals in Adelaide. This will be his debut in Madrid.
– Hijikata broke into the top 100 after reaching the fourth round of the 2023 US Open as a wild card, and achieved his career-high ranking in August 2024.
– At the 2023 ‘s-Hertogenbosch tournament, Hijikata rallied from a set down three times to reach his first ATP Tour semifinals as a lucky loser.
– In the 2023 Australian Open, he won the doubles title alongside Kubler, defeating the top-ranked pair. He also rallied from two sets down in the singles tournament for his first Grand Slam main draw win.
– Hijikata won two Challenger singles titles in his home country of Australia at the Playford tournament in October 2022 and immediately following the 2023 Australian Open in Burnie.
– He played college tennis at the University of North Carolina from 2020-21, where he earned All-American honors as a sophomore before turning pro.
– Notably, Hijikata enters the main draw as a lucky loser for the third time in his career, following his lone semifinal appearance at the 2023 ‘s-Hertogenbosch tournament and his seven quarterfinal appearances in Adelaide this year. He has a 1-6 record on clay in tour-level matches, with his first win on the surface coming against Eubanks in the 2024 Houston first round.

The match between Opelka and Hijikata will take place on Stadium 3.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Opelka will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Reilly Opelka vs Rinky Hijikata, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Reilly Opelka vs Rinky Hijikata prediction.