Who Will Win: Nadal Vs Borg? Prediction For ATP Nordea Open 2024

What Time Will Rafael Nadal Play Against Leo Borg?

Nadal and Borg are on the Day 2 Schedule at Nordea Open 2024 on Tuesday 16 July 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Rafael Nadal of Spain, aged 38 and currently ranked 261st in the world, will be facing Leo Borg of Sweden, aged 21 and ranked 461st in the world, in their first-ever meeting. Nadal is a 22-time Grand Slam men’s singles champion, with his most recent victory being a record 14th title at Roland Garros in 2022. He is also the first men’s player in history to achieve a career Grand Slam twice and has won two Olympic gold medals, one in singles at the 2008 Beijing Olympics and another in doubles with M. Lopez at the 2016 Rio Olympics.

Nadal has an impressive list of records, including winning an ATP Tour title in 19 straight seasons from 2004 to 2022. He has also defeated the world number one a record 23 times and has been ranked in the top 10 for a record 912 consecutive weeks, including 209 weeks as the world number one following 160 weeks as the world number two. Additionally, Nadal has the fourth-highest number of men’s singles wins in the Open Era, with 1,075 wins, including 410 victories at ATP Masters 1000 events. He also holds the second-most titles at ATP Masters 1000 tournaments with 36.

Nadal’s dominance on clay is particularly noteworthy, with 63 of his 92 titles coming on this surface. He has an astonishing overall record of 479 wins and 49 losses on clay, with a win percentage of .907. In best-of-five-set matches, he has an outstanding record of 137 wins and only 4 losses, with an incredible streak of 81 consecutive clay court wins from 2005 to 2007 and a 50-set win streak from 2017 to 2018.

It is worth mentioning that Nadal is returning to Bastad for the first time since 2005, where he won his eighth

tour-level title at this venue. Interestingly, he has a remarkable record of being 163-1 against opponents ranked outside the top 50 on clay at tour-level events since 2005, with his only loss occurring against No. 73 Zeballos in the 2013 Vina del Mar final.

On the other hand, Leo Borg, the son of former World No. 1 Bjorn Borg, has gradually climbed the rankings, earning his first ranking point in May 2021 and breaking into the top 500 in May 2023. He reached his career-high ranking of 334 in September 2023 after winning his third ITF Tour title at M25 Jakarta. Borg made his ATP Tour debut in 2021 at Stockholm as a wildcard, losing to eventual champion Paul. However, he secured his first ATP Tour win at the 2023 Bastad tournament, defeating E. Ymer in the first round before losing to Coria in the second round.

Borg has a record of 80 wins and 53 losses on the ITF Tour, including four finals, with titles at M15 Sharm ElSheikh in 2022, M25 Jakarta in April 2023, and M25 Jakarta in August 2023, as well as M15 Kingston in 2024. During his junior career, he reached as high as No. 12 on the ITF junior rankings, accumulating a record of 97 wins and 56 losses, along with three titles.

Despite growing up playing on hard court, Borg feels that his game is best suited to clay courts, which makes this matchup against Nadal particularly interesting. It is worth noting that Borg’s only tour-level win so far came against No. 166 E. Ymer in the first round of Bastad last year. His father, Bjorn Borg, who used to hold the Open Era record for the most Roland Garros men’s singles titles with six, was surpassed by Nadal in 2012.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Nadal will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Rafael Nadal vs Leo Borg, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Rafael Nadal vs Leo Borg prediction.

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