Prediction Of Monfils Vs Rublev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Gael Monfils Play Against Andrey Rublev?

Monfils and Rublev are on the Day 3 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Friday 25 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Gael Monfils and Andrey Rublev will be facing each other in a tennis match. Rublev currently leads the head-to-head record 3-1. Their previous encounters include matches at the 18 Doha (Qatar) on Hard Court, where Gael Monfils won 6-2 6-3, the 21 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati (U.S.A.) on Hard Court, where Rublev won 7-6(2) 7-6(5), the 23 US Open (U.S.A.) on Hard Court, where Rublev won 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-1, and the 25 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo (Monaco) on Clay Court, where Rublev won 6-4 7-6(2).

Insights from their previous match at the ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo on Clay Court showed that Rublev had better stats in various areas compared to Monfils. Rublev had a higher percentage of points won in attack, conversion rate, score steal score, serve quality, return quality, forehand quality, and backhand quality compared to Monfils. The tour average was also included for comparison.

Gael Monfils is a 38-year-old player from France. He is currently ranked No. 42 in the world, with a career-high ranking of No. 6. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 16-6, including a title at Auckland. Throughout his career, Monfils has won 13 ATP Tour titles, including ATP 500s at Washington in 2016 and Rotterdam in 2019 and 2020. He became the oldest champion in ATP Tour history at 38 years and 4 months when he won the 2025 Auckland tournament. Monfils has reached at least one final in 20 different seasons, including ATP Masters 1000s at Paris in 2009 and 2010, and Monte-Carlo in 2016. He has notable victories against No. 1 players such as Nadal and Medvedev. Monfils has also achieved significant milestones in his career, including reaching the semifinals at Roland Garros in 2008 and the US Open in 2016, as well as winning junior titles at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, and Wimbledon in 2004.

It is worth noting that Monfils has a record of 38-98 against top 10 players, with a 1-2 record in 2025. He is currently seeking his first top 10 win on clay since defeating No. 3 Cilic in the 2018 Rio de Janeiro second round. If Monfils achieves a top 10 win on clay at 38 years and 7 months, he would become the second-oldest man to do so in ATP Rankings history on clay. The oldest man to achieve this feat was Rosewall, who defeated No. 10 Nastase at 1975 North Conway at 38 years 11 months and No. 2 Newcombe at 1973 Tokyo at 40 years 9 months.

Several other players have recorded top 10 wins at an advanced age. Feliciano Lopez defeated No. 5 Rublev at 40 years 2 months in the 2021 Davis Cup Finals, Stan Wawrinka defeated No. 7 Rublev at 39 years 6 months in the 2024 Stockholm, Tommy Haas defeated No. 5 Federer at 39 years 2 months in the 2017 Stuttgart, and Stan Wawrinka defeated No. 10 Tiafoe at 38 years 4 months in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. Monfils himself achieved a top 10 win at 38 years 4 months, defeating No. 4 Taylor Fritz at the 2025 Australian Open.

Andrey Rublev is a 27-year-old player from Russia. He is currently ranked No. 8 in the world, with a career-high ranking of No. 5. In 2025, he has a win-loss record of 11-9, including a title at Doha. Rublev broke into the top 20 in January 2020, the top 10 in October 2020, and the top 5 in September 2021. He has achieved significant milestones in his career, including winning his first ATP Masters 1000 title at Monte-Carlo in 2023 and winning the Madrid title in 2024. Rublev has defeated top-ranked players such as Nadal, Medvedev, and Djokovic, and has a total of 17 ATP Tour titles. He had a successful 2020 season, winning 5 titles and having 41 victories, as well as a streak of 23 consecutive victories and 4 consecutive titles at ATP 500 events. Rublev has also reached the quarterfinals of Grand Slam tournaments on 10 occasions and reached the semifinals of the 2022 Nitto ATP Finals. In addition, he won a gold medal in the All-ROC mixed doubles final at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.

Rublev has a current winning streak of 6 matches in Madrid and aims to reach the third round for the fifth time in as many appearances in the tournament. He has a 1-3 record in ATP Masters 1000 events this season, with his only win being against Monfils in the second round of Monte-Carlo. Rublev is currently ranked No. 17 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and needs to reach at least the final in Madrid to avoid leaving the top 10 for the first time since September 2022, a period of 138 weeks.

In terms of consecutive weeks in the top 10 on the PIF ATP Rankings, Novak Djokovic holds the record with 333 weeks since July 16, 2018. Carlos Alcaraz has been in the top 10 for 158 weeks since April 25, 2022, and Rublev has been in the top 10 for 138 weeks since September 12, 2022. It is important to note that Djokovic’s streak does not include a frozen period of 22 weeks due to COVID-19.

The match between Gael Monfils and Andrey Rublev will take place at the Arantxa Sanchez Stadium.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Monfils will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Gael Monfils vs Andrey Rublev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Gael Monfils vs Andrey Rublev prediction.