Prediction Of Minaur Vs Fonseca H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025?

What Time Will Alex de Minaur Play Against Joao Fonseca?

Minaur and Fonseca are on the Day 6 Schedule at Miami Open Presented By Itau 2025 on Monday 24 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Alex de Minaur (AUS) will be facing off against Joao Fonseca (BRA) in their first-ever meeting. De Minaur, aged 26, currently ranks as the world number 11 and has reached a career-high of number 6. In 2025, he holds a 16-5 record, reaching the finals in Rotterdam and Miami, where he has a 4-5 record. He achieved his career-best 47 victories in 2022 and 2024, and has won a total of 9 ATP Tour titles, with his biggest victories coming in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. He also made it to the quarter-finals of the US Open in 2020, immediately following his first-ever ATP Tour doubles title win at the ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. He has reached the quarter-finals of multiple Grand Slam tournaments as well as the ATP Masters 1000 in Toronto. In Davis Cup play in 2022, de Minaur played a pivotal role for Australia, going 6-1 and leading the team to their first final since 2003. He has defeated top-ranked players such as Nadal and Djokovic at the United Cup. De Minaur comes from diverse cultural backgrounds, with an Uruguayan father, a Spanish mother, and splits his time between Australia and Spain. He is fluent in English, Spanish, and French.

It is worth noting that de Minaur has an impressive record of 15-1 against players outside the top 30 this season, with his only loss coming to Cilic, ranked at No. 187, in the Dubai 1R in February. He aims to tie Felix Auger-Aliassime for the most wins on the ATP Tour this season, with a total of 17 wins. A victory in this match would push de Minaur to the number 10 spot on the PIF ATP Live Rankings and would remove Medvedev from the top 10 for the first time since February 2023, after 110 consecutive weeks.

On the other side of the court, is Joao Fonseca, an 18-year-old player from Brazil. Fonseca holds the world number 60 ranking, which is his career-high. This achievement came in March 2025, after winning the Phoenix CH title. Fonseca became the reigning Next Gen ATP Finals champion and reached the number 1 spot in the junior rankings in September 2023. He broke into the top 100 of PIF ATP Rankings 16 months later. Fonseca captured his first tour-level title at the age of 18 at the 2025 Buenos Aires tournament. This victory made him the youngest South American tour-level champion since Perez-Roldan in 1987 and the youngest Brazilian champion in the Open Era. Fonseca made history at the Australian Open in 2025 when he defeated the 9th-seeded Rublev in the 1st round as a qualifier. This win made him the youngest man to defeat a top 10 player in Australian Open history according to the PIF ATP Rankings. Fonseca went on to win all his matches at the 2024 Next Gen ATP Finals, becoming the third 18-year-old to be crowned champion at the event. He also made his ATP Tour debut in his hometown of Rio de Janeiro in 2023 and earned his first ATP Tour wins in 2024. At just 10 years old, he had watched Nadal win the title in 2014, and now he was experiencing his own success.

Fonseca holds a 2-0 record in the Miami tournament, reaching the third round, and has a 9-4 record overall in 2025, with his most recent title coming at Buenos Aires. Notably, Fonseca has defeated top 20 players three times, including Fils, Rublev, and Humbert. At 18 years and 7 months old, Fonseca is the youngest player to reach the third round of both the ATP Masters 1000 and the Miami tournament since Alcaraz and del Potro respectively. If Fonseca goes on to win this match, he would join the list of the youngest players to record multiple wins against top 20 players in one tournament since 2000.

In summary, Alex de Minaur and Joao Fonseca are set to face each other for the first time. De Minaur, a seasoned player at age 26, has achieved impressive rankings and victories throughout his career, while Fonseca, at just 18 years old, has already made waves in the tennis world with his titles and victories against top-ranked players. This match promises to be an exciting clash between two talented players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Minaur will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Alex de Minaur vs Joao Fonseca, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Alex de Minaur vs Joao Fonseca prediction.