Prediction Of Medvedev Vs Alcaraz H2H, Who Will Win At ATP China Open 2024?

What Time Will Daniil Medvedev Play Against Carlos Alcaraz?

Medvedev and Alcaraz are on the Day 6 Schedule at China Open 2024 on Tuesday 1 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their head-to-head matchups, Carlos Alcaraz leads Daniil Medvedev 5-2. Here are their previous meetings and results:
– 2021 Wimbledon Grass R64: Daniil Medvedev defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-4 6-1 6-2
– 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells Hard F: Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-2
– 2023 Wimbledon Grass SF: Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-3 6-3 6-3
– 2023 US Open Hard SF: Daniil Medvedev defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7-6(3) 6-1 3-6 6-3
– 2023 Nitto ATP Finals Hard RR: Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-4 6-4
– 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells Hard F: Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 7-6(5) 6-1
– 2024 Wimbledon Grass SF: Carlos Alcaraz defeated Daniil Medvedev 6-7(1) 6-3 6-4 6-4

Insights from their last meeting on hard courts (2024 ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells Final):
Player In Attack Conversion Score: Daniil Medvedev: 28%, Carlos Alcaraz: 23%
Steal Score: Daniil Medvedev: 57%, Carlos Alcaraz: 75%
Serve Quality: Daniil Medvedev: 7.7, Carlos Alcaraz: 7.9
Return Quality: Daniil Medvedev: 6.9, Carlos Alcaraz: 7.7
Forehand Quality: Daniil Medvedev: 7.4, Carlos Alcaraz: 8.8
Backhand Quality: Daniil Medvedev: 7.1, Carlos Alcaraz: 7.5
Tour Average: 24% attack conversion, 67% steal score, 7.9 serve quality, 6.5 return quality, 7.5 forehand quality, 7.1 backhand quality.

In their last meeting, Daniil Medvedev had a higher attack conversion of 28% compared to his 52-week average of 21.6%. He also came to the net more often than Carlos Alcaraz. However, Carlos Alcaraz has been spending a high amount of time in attack, particularly in the Beijing tournament where his attack conversion was 31%. It remains to be seen if Medvedev will continue with his attacking style or go back to his steal-based game style.

In terms of ATP rankings and points, Jannik Sinner is currently ranked number 1 with 9,200 points, followed by Carlos Alcaraz at number 2 with 6,210 points. Alexander Zverev is also at number 2 with 6,115 points. Daniil Medvedev is ranked number 4 with 4,620 points. This is the scenario before the Beijing tournament, where Medvedev can gain 130 points for a semifinal win against Alcaraz.

Here are some key details about Daniil Medvedev:
– Age: 28
– World No. 5
– Career-High No. 1 ranking
– 2024 record: 42-16, with 2 finals
– Beijing record: 7-1, with a 2023 final appearance
– Spent 16 weeks as World No. 1 in 2022, becoming the tallest No. 1 in history at 1.98m (6’6″).
– Has a 5-3 record against Djokovic when Djokovic is World No. 1, including denying Djokovic the calendar Grand Slam at the 2021 US Open.
– Achieved a sweep of the Top 3 players (Djokovic, Nadal, Thiem) en route to winning the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals title, becoming the first player to do so since 2007.
– Had a 20-match winning streak from 2020-21, with 12 wins against Top 10 players.
– Won 18 of his 20 singles titles on hard courts, including ATP Masters 1000 championships.
– In 2024, he has a 1-4 record against the Top 3 players, with his only win coming against No. 1 Sinner in the Wimbledon quarterfinals.

Here are some key details about Carlos Alcaraz:
– Age: 21
– World No. 3
– Career-High No. 1 ranking
– 2024 record: 46-9, with 3 titles
– Beijing record: 6-1, with a 2023 semifinal appearance
– Became the youngest and first teenage World No. 1 in PIF ATP Rankings history.
– Won the 2022 US Open at the age of 19, making him the youngest men’s champion at the event since Sampras in 1990.
– Became the youngest player to win a Grand Slam title on all three surfaces, capturing the 2024 Roland Garros title.
– Defeated Djokovic in both the 2023 and 2024 Wimbledon finals, becoming the second man in the Open Era to win his first four Grand Slam finals after Federer.
– Has a 9-3 record against the Top 10 players in 2024, including wins over top-ranked players like Zverev, Sinner, and Medvedev.

These are the current ATP Tour Top 10 win leaders and their records against the Top 10 in 2024. Carlos Alcaraz has a 9-3 record against the Top 10 players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Medvedev will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction.