Prediction Of Machac Vs Humbert H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships 2024?

What Time Will Tomas Machac Play Against Ugo Humbert?

Machac and Humbert are on the Day 6 Schedule at Kinoshita Group Japan Open Tennis Championships 2024 on Monday 30 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Tomas Machac from the Czech Republic and Ugo Humbert from France will be facing each other for the first time in their careers. Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to analyze ball and player tracking data in real-time. This software calculates various factors such as shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic for every shot. More information about these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/insights-introduction.

Based on the 52-week averages provided by Tennis Data Innovations Insights, both players have a high percentage of shots in attack. Machac has a conversion score of 25% and a steal score of 70%. His serve quality is rated at 7.7, return quality at 7.1, forehand quality at 7.3, and backhand quality at 7.6. On the other hand, Humbert has a conversion score of 27% and a steal score of 68%. His serve quality is rated at 7.9, return quality at 6.8, forehand quality at 7.8, and backhand quality at 7.3. The averages for these metrics across the tour are 24% conversion score, 67% steal score, 7.9 serve quality, 6.5 return quality, 7.5 forehand quality, and 7.1 backhand quality.

This match is expected to be a closely contested one as both players attack a high percentage of shots and hit the ball hard from the back of the court. Humbert has a slight edge in forehand quality and his shot speed averages 78mph, which is higher than the tour average of 75mph. On the other hand, Machac leads in backhand quality and his shot speed averages 73mph, higher than the tour average of 68mph. The cross-court battle between these two aspects of their game is expected to be important in determining the outcome of the match.

Tomas Machac is 23 years old and currently ranked as World No. 34. He achieved a career-high ranking of No. 33 in June 2024. In the 2024 season, he has a win-loss record of 26-18, including reaching the final in Geneva and the semifinals in Tokyo. Machac broke into the top 100 in the year-end rankings of 2022 and achieved his career-high ranking after defeating No. 1 Djokovic to reach his first ATP Tour final in Geneva. He has also had notable victories over former champion Jack Sock and No. 6 Andrey Rublev.

Representing the Czech Republic, Machac had successes in the Tokyo Olympics, reaching the second round by defeating Sousa and winning in the first round and mixed doubles final to secure a gold medal with Siniakova at the 2024 Paris Olympics. He also has a strong record in Challenger events, boasting a 110-54 record and winning back-to-back titles in Orleans and Mouilleron le Captif in October 2023. Machac has expressed his admiration for the Chicago Bulls as his favorite sports team and considers Michael Jordan his hero.

It is worth noting that Machac is seeking his second ATP Tour final and his first above the ATP 250 level. His previous ATP Tour final was in Geneva on clay courts in May, where he lost to Ruud. He has struggled against top 20 players, with a record of 5-17 (4-11 on hard courts) coming into the 2024 season. However, a win in the semifinals could potentially elevate his ranking to No. 28.

If Machac reaches the final, it would be the 10th ATP Tour final between players born in the 2000s and the fifth in ATP 500 events.

Ugo Humbert is 26 years old and currently ranked as World No. 19. He achieved a career-high ranking of No. 13 in April 2024 after winning the Dubai tournament. He became the third player in the Open Era to win his sixth ATP Tour title in his sixth final, joining the likes of Gulbis and Klizan in this achievement. Humbert has had significant victories over players like Alexander Zverev and Andrey Rublev en route to winning his titles.

He has had success on French soil as well, capturing his fourth and fifth ATP Tour titles in his hometown of Metz in 2023 and in Marseille in 2024. In 2020, Humbert won his first ATP Tour title at Auckland and became the youngest French champion since Gasquet in 2007. He also saved four match points against Dan Evans to win his second ATP Tour title at Antwerp.

Humbert has a record of 12-16 against top 10 players and his biggest win came against No. 2 Daniil Medvedev at the 2022 ATP Cup. Additionally, he has achieved success in Challenger events, winning multiple titles, including a victory over former No. 3 Dominic Thiem at the 2022 Rennes tournament.

In this tournament, Humbert is aiming for his seventh ATP Tour final, with an unbeaten record of 6-0 in his previous finals. He has had success on hard courts, and this would be his third ATP 500 level final after his appearances in Halle in 2021 and Dubai in 2024. Humbert aims to become the fourth player this year to make multiple ATP 500 finals, joining players like Alex de Minaur and Casper Ruud.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Machac will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Tomas Machac vs Ugo Humbert, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Tomas Machac vs Ugo Humbert prediction.