Who Will Win: Lajovic Vs Baez? Prediction For ATP Hamburg Open 2024

What Time Will Dusan Lajovic Play Against Sebastian Baez?

Lajovic and Baez are on the Day 3 Schedule at Hamburg Open 2024 on Wednesday 17 July 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their previous encounters, Dusan Lajovic and Sebastian Baez have faced each other three times. Baez leads the head-to-head record with two wins, while Lajovic has one victory.

Their first meeting took place at the 2022 Roland Garros on clay, where Baez emerged victorious with a scoreline of 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3.

In their second encounter at the 2023 Buenos Aires Open on clay, Lajovic turned the tables and defeated Baez with a score of 3-6, 7-6(5), 6-3.

They met again at the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Rome on clay in the round of 64, where Baez once again emerged as the winner, winning the match with a score of 7-6(3), 7-6(6).

Dusan Lajovic, aged 34, is currently ranked number 55 in the world and has reached a career-high ranking of number 23. In 2024, he has a win-loss record of 14-13, with a semifinal appearance in Barcelona and quarterfinal finishes in Hamburg in 2014, 2020, and 2021.

Lajovic achieved his career-high ranking of number 23 after defeating the future world number one, Medvedev, and reaching his first ATP Tour singles final at the 2019 ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo. He entered the tournament as the number 48 in the world and became the lowest-ranked finalist in the history of that event since Arazi, who was ranked number 53 in 2001.

He has also captured two ATP Tour titles, with his second title coming at the 2023 Banja Luka, where he defeated Djokovic in the quarterfinals and Rublev in the final. Additionally, Lajovic has won his first ATP Tour singles title at the 2019 Umag, a doubles title at the 2015 Istanbul with Albot, and a team title at the 2020 ATP Cup as a member of Team Serbia.

Lajovic has advanced to the fourth round of a Grand Slam on two occasions, at the 2014 Roland Garros and the 2021 Australian Open. He has qualified for ATP Masters 1000 events 13 times, including reaching the quarterfinals at the 2018 Madrid Open.

It is worth noting that Lajovic has a record of 20-64 against top 20 players in his career, with a 1-6 record in 2024. His only win against a top 20 player this year came against

Humbert in the second round of the Barcelona Open. Lajovic aims to reach his 38th ATP Tour quarterfinal and complete the set of quarterfinal appearances at all three clay ATP 500 events in 2024 since the series was introduced in 2009.

On the other hand, Sebastian Baez, aged 23, is currently ranked number 19 in the world and has achieved a career-high ranking of number 18 in June. In 2024, he has a win-loss record of 24-16 and has won two titles. In Hamburg, he has reached the second round in both 2021 and 2024.

Baez broke into the top 20 after winning back-to-back ATP Tour titles in Rio de Janeiro and Santiago in February 2024, which propelled him to his career-high ranking. His breakthrough in 2023 saw him achieve a personal-best of 31 wins, highlighted by a 12-match winning streak. He won titles in Kitzbuhel and Winston-Salem and reached his first Grand Slam third round at the US Open.

He captured his first ATP Tour title at the 2022 Estoril and earned his second title on home soil at the 2023 Cordoba, where he entered the tournament on a streak of six straight losses and 17 losses in his previous 18 matches.

Baez broke into the top 300, 200, and 100 in 2021 and has a record of 6-3 in Challenger finals, tying with four other players for the second-most titles in a season, behind Griekspoor’s eight in 2021.

He became the world number one junior in March 2018, reaching the Roland Garros boys’ singles final and winning the gold medal in boys’ doubles at the Youth Olympics with Diaz Acosta in Buenos Aires, his hometown.

In terms of their current form, Baez will be looking to reach his 18th ATP Tour quarterfinal, with 10 of those coming on clay. Additionally, he aims to reach his third quarterfinal above the ATP 250 level, with his previous ones achieved at the Rio de Janeiro tournament in 2023 and 2024. Baez has maintained an impressive record of 14-0 against players ranked outside the top 50 on clay since his loss to Coria in Buenos Aires in February. In 2024, he has a record of 19-2 against players ranked outside the top 50 on clay.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Lajovic will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Dusan Lajovic vs Sebastian Baez, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Dusan Lajovic vs Sebastian Baez prediction.

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