Prediction Of Khachanov Vs Diallo H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Almaty Open 2024?

What Time Will Karen Khachanov Play Against Gabriel Diallo?

Khachanov and Diallo are on the Day 7 Schedule at Almaty Open 2024 on Sunday 20 October 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match between Karen Khachanov and Gabriel Diallo, Khachanov leads the head-to-head 1-0. They previously faced each other in the R64 of the ATP Masters 1000 Montreal on hard court, where Khachanov emerged victorious with a score of 6-4 6-4.

Khachanov, who is 28 years old and currently ranked at World No. 26, had his career-high ranking of No. 8 in July 2019. In 2018, he had an impressive run at the ATP Masters 1000 Paris, defeating several top-10 players, including Isner, A. Zverev, Thiem, and Djokovic, to capture the title. However, he then went through a 23-match losing streak against top-10 players from August 2019 to March 2023, before finally defeating No. 3 Tsitsipas on his way to the semifinals of the ATP Masters 1000 Miami in 2023.

Khachanov has advanced to the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events, with notable runs to the semifinals of the 2022 US Open and the 2023 Australian Open. He also represented Team ROC as the No. 4 men’s player in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics, where he earned a silver medal.

Now, Khachanov is aiming to win his seventh ATP Tour title, with a record of 6-2 in finals. He specifically aims to secure his first indoor hard court title since defeating Djokovic at the 2018 ATP Masters 1000 Paris. Winning multiple ATP Tour titles in a season for the second time in his career is also one of his goals.

On the other hand, Gabriel Diallo, aged 23 and currently ranked at World No. 118, is experiencing breakthrough success. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 103 in September 2024 after reaching the third round of the US Open as a qualifier. Diallo made his tour-level debut at the 2022 Davis Cup Finals, where he lost to Djere. He earned his first ATP Tour win by defeating No. 21 Evans at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Toronto in front of his home crowd.

Diallo had a significant win against No. 18 Musetti at the 2023 Davis Cup Finals, which helped Canada qualify for the quarterfinals. He also had a successful record in Challenger events, with a 3-1 record in finals and winning his first title in 2022 as a wild card ranked at No. 519.

Moreover, Diallo previously played for the University of Kentucky, reaching the quarterfinal round of the 2022 NCAA Singles Championships, before turning professional at the end of 2022.

Diallo is now looking to become the first Canadian man to win an ATP Tour title in 2024 and the fourth this century, following the footsteps of Raonic, Auger-Aliassime, and Shapovalov. With his current ranking of No. 87 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings, a title win could secure his Top 100 debut and potentially push him to No. 76.

In terms of their statistics in the 2024 Almaty tournament, Khachanov has hit 22 aces, while Diallo has hit 28. Khachanov’s first-serve percentage is 66%, winning 82% of first-serve points and 61% of second-serve points. Diallo has a higher first-serve percentage of 76%, winning 79% of first-serve points and 56% of second-serve points. In terms of service games won, Khachanov has a rate of 92% compared to Diallo’s 98%. However, Diallo has a higher percentage of break points saved at 88% compared to 57% for Khachanov.

On the return side, Khachanov has won 24% of first-serve return points and 64% of second-serve return points. Diallo has won 30% of first-serve return points and 43% of second-serve return points. In terms of return games won, Khachanov has a rate of 22% compared to Diallo’s 18%. Both players have a similar break points conversion rate, with Khachanov at 40% and Diallo at 42%.

Overall, Diallo aims to become the 12th first-time ATP Tour champion of the season, while players trying to win their first ATP Tour title have had a record of 11-17 this season. Diallo also has the opportunity to become one of the lowest-ranked ATP Tour champions in 2024, currently ranked at No. 118.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Khachanov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Karen Khachanov vs Gabriel Diallo, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Karen Khachanov vs Gabriel Diallo prediction.