Prediction Of Khachanov Vs Alcaraz H2H, Who Will Win At ATP China Open 2024?

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Prediction Of Khachanov Vs Alcaraz H2H, Who Will Win At ATP China Open 2024?
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What Time Will Karen Khachanov Play Against Carlos Alcaraz?

Khachanov and Alcaraz are on the Day 5 Schedule at China Open 2024 on Monday 30 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

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Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In their previous meetings, Carlos Alcaraz has a 3-0 head-to-head advantage over Karen Khachanov. Alcaraz defeated Khachanov in the following matches: 6-1 6-4 6-4 at Roland Garros 2022, 6-0 6-2 at Hamburg 2022, and 6-4 7-5 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid 2023.

Karen Khachanov, age 28, is currently ranked world No. 27 and has a career-high ranking of No. 8. In the 2024 season, he has a win-loss record of 25-18, including a title at Doha and reaching the semifinals in Beijing in 2019.

In July 2019, Khachanov broke into the top 10 and achieved his career-high ranking of No. 8. He had a successful run at the 2018 ATP Masters 1000 Paris, where he upset top-10 players such as Isner, A. Zverev, Thiem, and Djokovic to win the title. However, after that, he went on a 23-match losing streak against top-10 players from August 2019 to March 2023. He ended the streak by defeating No. 3 Tsitsipas at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Miami.

At the 2018 Paris tournament, Khachanov became the first unseeded ATP Masters 1000 champion since Nalbandian in 2007. He has reached the quarterfinals of all four Grand Slam events, with notable runs to the semifinals at the 2022 US Open and the 2023 Australian Open.

Khachanov participated in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics as the No. 4 men’s player on Team ROC and won a silver medal (held in 2021).

It is worth noting that Khachanov has a 2-19 record against top-3 opponents in his career. However, he has earned wins over No. 2 Djokovic in the 2018 ATP Masters 1000 Paris final and No. 3 Tsitsipas in the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Miami fourth round. He is aiming to reach his 22nd tour-level semifinal and his third of the season (Marseille SF, Doha Title).

Carlos Alcaraz, age 21, is currently ranked world No. 3 and has a career-high ranking of No. 1. In the 2024 season, he has a win-loss record of 45-9, including three titles. In Beijing, he has a record of 5-1, with his best result being the semifinals in 2023.

Alcaraz made history as the youngest and first teenage world No. 1 and year-end No. 1 in the PIF ATP Rankings. He achieved this feat by rising from No. 32 at the end of 2021 to No. 1 at the age of 19 in September 2022. He remained at the top of the rankings until the end of the season, totaling 36 weeks.

In the 2022 US Open final, Alcaraz defeated Ruud to become the youngest men’s champion at the US Open since Sampras in 1990 and the youngest champion at any Grand Slam event since Nadal at the 2005 Roland Garros.

At the 2024 Roland Garros, Alcaraz captured the title by winning five-set matches against Sinner in the semifinals and Zverev in the final. He became the youngest man to win a Grand Slam title on all three surfaces.

Alcaraz defeated 7-time champion Djokovic in both the 2023 and 2024 Wimbledon finals, becoming the second man in the Open Era to win his first four Grand Slam finals after Federer. However, he lost to Djokovic in the 2024 Paris Olympics final.

He became the youngest ATP 500 champion at the 2022 Rio de Janeiro and the third youngest ATP Masters 1000 champion at the 2022 Miami.

Alcaraz achieved another milestone by defeating both Nadal and Djokovic at the 2022 Madrid tournament. He became the youngest player to accomplish this feat and the first to do so at the same clay-court event, ultimately winning his second ATP Masters 1000 title.

In the second round of the current tournament, Alcaraz defeated Griekspoor, recording his 200th tour-level win. He became the second fastest among 29 world No. 1s in the PIF ATP Rankings history to achieve this milestone, with a win-loss record of 200-52, only behind McEnroe (200-45).

Alcaraz is now aiming to reach his 32nd tour-level semifinal, which would be his sixth of the season and equal his best result in Beijing.

Among the players born since 2000, the fastest players to reach 200 wins on the ATP Tour are John McEnroe, Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, Rafael Nadal, Mats Wilander, and Jimmy Connors.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Khachanov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz prediction.