Prediction Of Griekspoor Vs Watanuki H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Tallon Griekspoor Play Against Yosuke Watanuki?

Griekspoor and Watanuki are on the Day 7 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Tuesday 11 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Tallon Griekspoor, a 28-year-old player from the Netherlands, is currently ranked number 43 in the world. He reached his career-high ranking of number 21 in November and had an impressive record of 10 wins and 5 losses in 2025, including reaching the semifinals in Dubai. At the 2025 Indian Wells tournament, Griekspoor made it to the fourth round with a record of 5 wins and 3 losses.

In 2023, Griekspoor had a breakthrough year, earning a personal-best 36 wins and winning his first ATP Tour title in Pune. He reached his career-high ranking of number 21 and had a remarkable performance on home soil, going 17-3. He won his second title at ‘s-Hertogenbosch in 2023 and made an impressive comeback from a set down to defeat the number 8 player, Hubert Hurkacz, en route to the semifinals in Rotterdam in 2024. Griekspoor has a history of rallying from a set down, securing victories over top-ranked players on multiple occasions, such as Stan Wawrinka, Karen Khachanov, Aslan Karatsev, Alexander Zverev, and Alex de Minaur, earning his first 5 out of 15 career top-20 wins on home soil.

Griekspoor has had success on the ATP Challenger Tour as well, going undefeated in finals and achieving an overall record of 42 wins and 7 losses in 2021. He set a single-season record for the most titles and ended the season with an impressive 25 straight wins. Notably, Griekspoor ousted the world number 2 player, Alexander Zverev, in the second round of a tournament, which stands as the biggest win of his career. He now aims to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, which would make him the first Dutch quarterfinalist at this level since Haase in 2018 Toronto. If successful, he would become the fifth Dutch quarterfinalist in tournament history, joining the ranks of Okker in 1979, Haarhuis in 1996, Krajicek in 1999, and Schalken in 2000.

Yosuke Watanuki, a 26-year-old player from Japan, currently holds the 349th rank in the world. He reached his career-high ranking of number 72 in October 2023, shortly after defeating the number 12 player, Felix Auger-Aliassime, for the biggest win of his career at the 2023 Washington tournament. Watanuki broke into the top 200 in November 2018 and reached the top 100 in July 2023. He qualified for the 2023 Australian Open after making eight Grand Slam qualifying attempts, and he secured his first Grand Slam win by defeating Rinderknech. Additionally, he ended his 2022 season on a 10-match winning streak on the Challenger tour, clinching titles in Kobe and Yokkaichi.

Watanuki’s journey in the ATP Tour began with his first win at the 2018 Tokyo tournament as a qualifier, where he defeated Haase. He made his ATP Tour debut at the 2018 Washington tournament as a qualifier and narrowly missed victory against Medvedev, squandering a match point. He achieved his first ATP Tour quarterfinal appearance as a lucky loser at the 2022 Lyon tournament. In his junior career, Watanuki had notable achievements, reaching the number 2 spot in the junior rankings in March 2016. He had an impressive record of 104 wins and 39 losses on the ITF Junior Circuit, defeating fellow #NextGenATP players such as Alex de Minaur, Miomir Kecmanovic, Casper Ruud, and Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Watanuki comes from a family with a strong tennis background. His father, Hirotsugu, and mother, Chizuru, are tennis coaches, and he has two brothers, Keisuke and Yusuke, with Keisuke serving as his coach and Yusuke also playing tennis.

Watanuki aims to reach his second ATP Tour quarterfinal, with his previous appearance coming as a lucky loser at the 2022 Lyon tournament, where he lost to de Minaur. If Watanuki succeeds, he will become the fourth lowest-ranked ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinalist in the series’ history since 1990. He would join Nishikori as the only Japanese men to reach the quarterfinals at the event. Watanuki is currently ranked number 214 on the PIF ATP Live Rankings, and a quarterfinal appearance would propel him to number 157.

In the history of ATP Masters 1000 tournaments, there have been several instances of low-ranked players reaching the quarterfinals as qualifiers. The lowest-ranked ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinalists in tournament history include Darren Cahill at 1013 in the 1994 Indian Wells event, Kei Nishikori at 576 in the 2024 Montreal event, Chris Woodruff at 550 in the 1999 Indian Wells event, Mikael Tillstrom at 332 in the 1992 Monte-Carlo event, and Gael Monfils at 276 in the 2023 Toronto event.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Griekspoor will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Tallon Griekspoor vs Yosuke Watanuki, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Tallon Griekspoor vs Yosuke Watanuki prediction.