Prediction Of Fearnley Vs Fonseca H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Bnp Paribas Open 2025?

What Time Will Jacob Fearnley Play Against Joao Fonseca?

Fearnley and Fonseca are on the Day 2 Schedule at Bnp Paribas Open 2025 on Thursday 6 March 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jacob Fearnley from Great Britain will be facing Joao Fonseca from Brazil in their first meeting at the Tour-Level. However, they have faced each other before at the 2025 Canberra CH in Australia, where Fonseca emerged as the winner with a score of 6-3 6-3 on a hard court.

Fearnley, who is currently 23 years old, holds the rank of World No. 81 with his career-high being No. 77. In 2025, he has a record of 3-2, including reaching the third round of the Australian Open. He achieved his career-high rank in January 2025 after his performance at the Australian Open.

Fearnley’s journey to his current position has been remarkable, going from being unranked in July 2023 to breaking into the Top 500 in June 2024. He continued to climb the rankings, reaching the Top 200 in August 2024 and the Top 100 in September 2024. His outstanding performance led him to achieve his career-high rank of No. 77.

The British player made his ATP Tour debut at the 2024 Eastbourne as a Wild Card, where he lost in the first round to B. Harris. However, he secured his first tour-level win against Moro Canas at the 2024 Wimbledon, only to be defeated by 7-time champion Djokovic in the second round.

Fearnley’s success extends to the Challenger circuit as well. In 2024, he had a record of 27-3, with titles in Nottingham-2, Lincoln, Rennes, and Orleans. His win percentage in a season at the Challenger level was the highest since 2011, with a minimum of 25 matches played.

During his junior years, Fearnley reached a peak ranking of No. 27. Notably, he defeated future World No. 1s Alcaraz in the 2018 Sanxenxo Grade 2 final and Sinner in the 2017 Malta ITF U18 Grade 4 1R.

Fearnley also spent five years playing college tennis for Texas Christian University. He became a four-time ITA All-American and played an instrumental role in helping his team win the national championship in his final year.

The upcoming match at Indian Wells Tennis Garden in Indian Wells, CA, USA will mark Fearnley’s ATP Masters 1000 debut. He aims to secure his third Top 100 win of 2025 after defeating No. 78 Cazaux in the Australian Open third round and No. 70 Nishikori in the Davis Cup. Fearnley’s incredible rise is evident from his ranking comparison, as he jumped from World No. 506 on PIF ATP Rankings to No. 81, gaining 425 spots in the last 52 weeks.

On the other hand, Joao Fonseca is an 18-year-old player from Brazil, currently ranked World No. 80, with a career-high of No. 68 in February 2025. He earned the title of reigning Next Gen ATP Finals champion and became the junior No. 1 in September 2023. He broke into the Top 100 of PIF ATP Rankings 16 months later.

Fonseca’s breakthrough performance came at the 2025 Buenos Aires, where he clinched his first tour-level title at the age of 18. This made him the youngest South American tour-level champion since Perez-Roldan in 1987 and the youngest Brazilian champion in the Open Era.

One of Fonseca’s significant achievements was defeating No. 9 Rublev in the first round of the 2025 Australian Open as a qualifier. This victory made him the youngest man to defeat a Top 10 player at the Australian Open in PIF ATP Rankings history.

He had an excellent record of 5-0 at the 2024 Next Gen ATP Finals, joining Alcaraz and Sinner as the only 18-year-old champions in the history of the event. He also became the first South American champion at the event.

Fonseca made his ATP Tour debut in his hometown of Rio de Janeiro in 2023. He earned his first ATP Tour wins by defeating No. 36 Fils and former champion Garin in 2024, ten years after watching Nadal win the title as a fan.

In the junior rankings, Fonseca became World No. 1 after winning the 2023 US Open boys’ singles event. He reached the quarter-finals at the Australian Open, Roland Garros, and Wimbledon earlier that year.

Fonseca has previously competed in one ATP Masters 1000 event, making his debut in Madrid last April. He won his first-round match against Michelsen but lost to Norrie in the second round. At Indian Wells, he seeks his first hard court win since defeating No. 9 Rublev in the Australian Open first round.

Both players have shown impressive progress in their careers and will undoubtedly bring their best performance on the court for their upcoming match at Indian Wells.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Fearnley will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jacob Fearnley vs Joao Fonseca prediction.