Prediction Of Draper Vs Musetti H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Lorenzo Musetti?

Draper and Musetti are on the Day 10 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Friday 2 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

On the singles finals potential between Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti, it is worth noting that Draper currently holds a 3-0 lead in their head-to-head matches. Their previous encounters include the 2022 Next Gen ATP Finals in Italy, where Draper won 4-1, 4-0, 4-3(3) on hard court in the round-robin stage. They also met in the 2023 Sofia tournament in Bulgaria, where Draper emerged victorious with scores of 7-5, 6-2 on a hard court in the round of 16. Additionally, they faced each other in the 2024 Vienna tournament in Austria, with Draper winning in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4 on a hard court in the semifinals.

In terms of their other meetings, they competed against each other in the 2018 Roehampton Juniors in Great Britain, where Draper defeated Musetti 6-4, 6-1 on grass in the quarterfinals. They also faced off in the 2018 Wimbledon Juniors in Great Britain, with Draper emerging as the winner after a three-set battle, 6-7(4), 6-3, 6-1 on grass in the quarterfinals.

Turning to Jack Draper’s achievements, he is currently 23 years old and reached a career-high ranking of World No. 6. In 2025, he has a record of 18-4, including winning the Indian Wells title. Draper’s breakthrough into the tennis scene took place during the 2022 season. He climbed into the Top 200 in February, the Top 100 in June, and the Top 50 in September. He reached his career-high ranking of No. 6 in April 2025 after capturing his first ATP Masters 1000 title at Indian Wells. Notably, he made it to the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without dropping a set, becoming the fourth British man in the Open Era to reach the semifinals of that event, following Rusedski, Henman, and Murray. Draper also secured his first ATP Tour title by defeating two-time champion Berrettini in the 2024 Stuttgart final. In back-to-back weeks, he achieved his biggest win in his career by defeating World No. 2 Alcaraz at the Queen’s Club 2nd round. He won his second title at the 2024 Vienna tournament, following in the footsteps of his fellow countryman Murray as the first man to win on tournament debut since 2014. In 2022, Draper advanced to his first ATP Tour semifinal at Eastbourne as a wildcard, achieved Top 10 wins over players like Tsitsipas en route to the Montreal quarterfinals as a qualifier, and defeated Auger-Aliassime, ranked No. 8 at the time, to reach the third round of the US Open.

It is also worth mentioning that Draper has a strong record of 22-2 against players ranked outside the Top 10 since October, with his only losses in the most recent ATP Masters 1000 events to eventual champions Mensik and Davidovich Fokina. He aims to reach his seventh ATP Tour final, with a current record of 3 wins and 3 losses. Additionally, he strives to join Murray as the only British players to reach ATP Masters 1000 finals on both clay and hard courts. A semifinal win would propel him to the No. 2 position in the Race to Turin.

As for the history of British ATP Masters 1000 finalists, Draper became the second British player to reach an ATP Masters 1000 final after Murray, who has an impressive record of 21 finals, including three on clay.

Moving on to Lorenzo Musetti, he is also 23 years old and currently ranked World No. 11, which is his career-high position. In 2025, he has a record of 16-5 and reached the final of the Monte-Carlo tournament. Musetti made his breakthrough into the top 20 in January 2023, and in April 2025, he achieved his career-high ranking of No. 11 after reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 final in Monte-Carlo. Notably, at the age of 20, Musetti defeated Alcaraz in the 2022 Hamburg final, making it the youngest ATP Tour final since 2005. He also won his second title at the 2022 Naples tournament without dropping a set. Another significant achievement for Musetti was his bronze medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics, where he upset Tokyo gold medalist Zverev. This marked the first Olympic singles medal for Team Italy in tennis since 1924. In 2024, Musetti had his best season with 40 wins, including 12 wins on grass courts, making him the tour leader in that category. He reached his first Grand Slam semifinal at Wimbledon, the final at London/Queen’s Club, and the semifinal in Stuttgart. Musetti had a notable performance at the 2023 Monte-Carlo tournament, where he achieved a 6-0, 6-0 victory in the second round at the ATP Masters 1000 level, followed by an upset win over World No. 1 Djokovic in the third round, which marked the biggest win of his career at that time.

Musetti’s recent success on clay is worth mentioning, as he has an 18-3 record since July. This includes winning a bronze medal at the Paris Olympics and reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 final in Monte-Carlo earlier this year. He is set to break into the Top 10 on the ATP Live Rankings, currently ranked No. 8, and a semifinal win would push him to No. 7, surpassing de Minaur. Musetti has a record of 11-26 against Top 10 players, with a 3-2 record in 2025, including a win over No. 7 De Minaur in the fourth round. He aims to reach his seventh ATP Tour final, with a current record of 2 wins and 4 losses. Similar to Draper, Musetti also strives to reach his second ATP Masters 1000 final.

Lastly, it is interesting to note that Musetti’s entrance into the Top 10 will make him the third youngest Italian man to achieve this feat, at the age of 23 years and 63 days. The other Italian players who achieved this milestone at a younger age are Jannik Sinner and Adriano Panatta. Additionally, Musetti and Sinner will become the second duo of Italian players to be ranked in the Top 10, following Berrettini and Sinner’s rankings from November 2022 to March 2023.

In summary, both Jack Draper and Lorenzo Musetti have had impressive journeys in their careers and are now set to face each other in a potential singles final. Their head-to-head record shows Draper leading 3-0, and their previous matches have taken place on different court surfaces. Draper has reached a career-high ranking of No. 6 and has notable achievements, including winning the Indian Wells title and reaching the semifinals of the US Open. Musetti, on the other hand, is currently ranked No. 11, but is poised to break into the Top 10. He has performed well on clay, winning a bronze medal at the Paris Olympics and reaching the final of the Monte-Carlo tournament. Overall, this potential final promises an exciting match between two talented players.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti prediction.