Prediction Of Draper Vs Arnaldi H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Jack Draper Play Against Matteo Arnaldi?

Draper and Arnaldi are on the Day 9 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Thursday 1 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Jack Draper, a 23-year-old British player, achieved a career-high ranking of No. 6 in April 2025. He broke into the Top 200 in February 2022, Top 100 in June 2022, and Top 50 in September 2022. In the same year, he won his first ATP Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells, with a record of 17-4 for the year and a quarterfinal appearance in Madrid. Draper made it to the semifinals of the 2024 US Open without losing a set, becoming the fourth British man in the Open Era to reach that stage. His breakthrough came in 2024 when he won his first ATP Tour title by defeating two-time champion Matteo Berrettini in the Stuttgart final. In back-to-back weeks, he also achieved his biggest career win by defeating the No. 2 player, Carlos Alcaraz, at Queen’s Club. Draper became the first man since Andy Murray in 2014 to win on his tournament debut in Vienna, where he captured his second title. In 2022, he reached his first ATP Tour semifinal at Eastbourne as a wild card, defeated Top 10 players Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime, and reached the third round of the US Open. In his junior career, Draper achieved a career-high ranking of No. 7 and reached the 2018 Wimbledon boys’ singles final.

If Draper wins his next match, he will move from the No. 6 to the No. 5 spot on the PIF ATP Live Rankings, surpassing Novak Djokovic. He will also join Rafael Nadal as the only left-handers to break into the Top 5 of the PIF ATP Rankings in this century. The provided information lists 15 left-handers who have achieved this feat in alphabetical order.

On the other side of the match is Matteo Arnaldi, a 24-year-old Italian player. Arnaldi broke into the Top 500 in September 2021, Top 200 in August 2022, and Top 100 in May 2023. He achieved a career-high ranking of No. 30 in August 2024 after reaching his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal in Montreal. Arnaldi reached his first ATP Tour quarterfinal and semifinal at the 2023 Umag and his first Grand Slam fourth round at the 2023 US Open. He obtained his biggest career win by defeating the No. 4 player, Casper Ruud, in the third round of the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid. He has a Challenger record of 59-39 with four final appearances and one title at Francavilla al Mare. As a junior, Arnaldi peaked at No. 22 and had three singles titles and two doubles titles. In the current Madrid tournament, he defeated three-time champion Novak Djokovic in the second round and is looking to reach his fourth ATP Tour semifinal.

The information also provides a list of Italian players who have reached the semifinals of ATP Masters 1000 events since the series began in 1990, with Matteo Arnaldi being one of them.

Lastly, the text mentions that Mensik, who is 19 years and 246 days old, could join the list of teenagers who have made their Top 20 debut since 2000. It lists several notable players who achieved this feat, including Carlos Alcaraz, Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic, and Andy Murray.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Draper will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction.