Who Will Win: Djokovic Vs Alcarz? Prediction For ATP Wimbledon 2024

What Time Will Novak Djokovic Play Against Carlos Alcarz?

Djokovic and Alcarz are on the Singles Final Schedule at Wimbledon 2024 on Sunday 14 July. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match Preview:

No. 2 seed Novak Djokovic (SRB) will face No. 3 seed Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) in the men’s singles final at Wimbledon. Djokovic currently leads their head-to-head record 3-2.

Their previous meetings include:
– 2022 Madrid-1000 Clay (O) SF: Alcaraz won 67(5) 75 76(5)
– 2023 Roland Garros Clay (O) SF: Djokovic won 63 57 61 61
– 2023 Wimbledon Grass (O) FR: Alcaraz won 16 76(6) 61 36 64
– 2023 Cincinnati-1000 Hard (O) FR: Djokovic won 57 76(7) 76(4)
– 2023 ATP Finals Hard (I) SF: Djokovic won 63 62

This is Djokovic and Alcaraz’s 6th meeting overall, their 3rd at a Grand Slam, and their 2nd meeting at Wimbledon. They are currently tied 1-1 in Grand Slam matchups, with Alcaraz winning the final here last year and Djokovic winning the final at 2023 Cincinnati-1000 the following month.

This is the 4th Wimbledon men’s singles final in the Open Era between the No. 2 and No. 3 seed. The previous matchups occurred in 1989, 1990, and 1995.

Overall, in Grand Slam men’s singles finals between the No. 2 and No. 3 seed, the No. 2 seed has won 5 times and the No. 3 seed has won 4 times.

This will be the 3rd meeting between Top 5 players at Wimbledon this year, following No. 5 Medvedev’s victory over No. 1 Sinner in the quarterfinals and Alcaraz’s victory over Medvedev in the semifinals.

Djokovic has won 4 of his last 5 matches against Top 5 players at Wimbledon, with his only defeat to a Top 5 player here coming against Alcaraz in last year’s final. His last defeat to a Top 5 player at Wimbledon occurred in the 2013 final against Andy Murray. Overall, Djokovic has a 5-4 win-loss record against Top 5 players at Wimbledon.

In Grand Slam play, Djokovic has won 4 of his last 6 matches against Top 5 players, with his only defeats to Top 5 players occurring in last year’s final against Alcaraz and this year’s semifinals at the Australian Open against Sinner. Overall, Djokovic has a 39-25

win-loss record against Top 5 players at Grand Slams.

However, Djokovic has lost his last 2 matches against Top 5 players at the Tour-level, falling to Sinner at the 2023 Davis Cup Finals and the 2024 Australian Open. He holds a 122-78 win-loss record against Top 5 players at Tour-level overall.

Alcaraz has won 3 of the 4 matches he has contested against Top 5 players at Wimbledon, defeating Medvedev, Djokovic, and Medvedev again in the semifinals this year. His only defeat to a Top 5 player at Wimbledon came against Medvedev in 2021. He has a 7-4 win-loss record against Top 5 players at Grand Slams overall.

Alcaraz is currently on a 5-match Tour-level winning streak against Top 5 players, with victories over Sinner, Medvedev, Sinner again, Zverev, and Medvedev again. He holds a 17-9 win-loss record against Top 5 players at Tour-level overall.

In terms of their paths to the final, Djokovic has spent a total of 12 hours and 54 minutes on court, while Alcaraz has spent 17 hours and 6 minutes.

Djokovic is bidding to win his 8th Wimbledon title, which would equal Roger Federer’s all-time record. He is also aiming to become the 4th player in history to win 8 or more Wimbledon singles titles. Additionally, Djokovic is vying for his 25th Grand Slam title, which would extend his all-time record.

Alcaraz, on the other hand, is looking to retain his Wimbledon title and become the 9th man in the Open Era to do so. He is aiming to become the 2nd Spanish player to win multiple Wimbledon titles and to win his 4th Grand Slam title, which would equal Manuel Santana’s record.

At 21 years and 70 days, Alcaraz could become the 3rd player in the Open Era to win multiple Wimbledon titles aged 21 or under. He is also bidding to become the 13th man in history to win back-to-back Roland Garros and Wimbledon titles.

Overall, this promises to be an exciting final between two formidable players with impressive records.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Djokovic will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarz, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarz prediction.

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