Prediction Of Dimitrov Vs Diallo H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Grigor Dimitrov Play Against Gabriel Diallo?

Dimitrov and Diallo are on the Day 8 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Wednesday 30 April 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the quarter-finals of the Madrid Open, Grigor Dimitrov from Bulgaria will be facing Gabriel Diallo from Canada. This will be their first meeting.

Looking at their performance based on their 52-week averages, Dimitrov has a higher conversion rate in his attacks, scoring steals, and return quality. He has a serve quality of 8.1, forehand quality of 8.3, and backhand quality of 7.2. On the other hand, Diallo has a higher percentage in his attacks, but a lower conversion rate, score steal, and return quality. His serve quality is 8.6, forehand quality is 7.0, and backhand quality is 6.5. The tour average for these categories falls between the two players.

Grigor Dimitrov is 33 years old and ranked 16th in the world. His career-high ranking was No. 3, and in 2025 he has a record of 14-7 with 2 semi-finals. He has had notable achievements, such as becoming the first debutant to go 5-0 and win the Nitto ATP Finals title since McEnroe in 1978. He is the highest-ranked Bulgarian player in history and has won 9 titles, including the 2017 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati. He surpassed 400 wins in 2023, with his biggest win being against No. 1 Djokovic at the 2013 ATP Masters 1000 Madrid. He has reached the semi-finals of Grand Slam tournaments and ATP Masters 1000 events multiple times.

Dimitrov has a history in the Madrid Open, making his 12th consecutive main draw appearance. He achieved his biggest win by defeating No. 1 Djokovic on his debut in 2013. He aims to reach his second quarter-final in Madrid, ten years after reaching his first in 2015. He has the most ATP Masters 1000 wins this season and is seeking his 96th tour-level quarter-final, 23rd at the ATP Masters 1000 level. He has a strong record against players ranked outside the top 50 on clay since the start of the 2022 season.

Gabriel Diallo is 23 years old and currently ranked 78th in the world, which is his career-high ranking. In 2025, he has a record of 9-8, and in this tournament, he has reached the 4th round. He broke into the top 100 in October 2024 and achieved his career-high ranking in April 2025. He made his tour-level debut at the 2022 Davis Cup Finals and earned his first ATP Tour win by defeating No. 21 Evans at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Toronto. He has had notable victories in his career, including defeating No. 18 Musetti at the 2023 Davis Cup Finals and reaching the 3rd round of the 2024 US Open as a qualifier.

Diallo entered the draw as a lucky loser for the third time in four ATP Masters 1000 events played this season. This is his first ATP Masters 1000 4th round appearance, and he has risen in the rankings due to his performance. He has a chance to become the first lucky loser to reach the ATP Masters 1000 quarter-finals since Popyrin in 2023. He has a 1-6 record against top 20 players, with his biggest win being against No. 18 Musetti at the 2023 Davis Cup.

In summary, Grigor Dimitrov and Gabriel Diallo will be facing each other for the first time in the quarter-finals of the Madrid Open. Dimitrov has a higher overall performance level based on their 52-week averages, but Diallo has had notable achievements in his young career.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Dimitrov will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Grigor Dimitrov vs Gabriel Diallo prediction.