Prediction Of Diallo Vs Paul H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025?

What Time Will Gabriel Diallo Play Against Tommy Paul?

Diallo and Paul are on the Day 1 Schedule at Abierto Mexicano Telcel Presentado Por Hsbc 2025 on Monday 24 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match between Gabriel Diallo from Canada and Tommy Paul from the USA, Tommy Paul currently holds a 1-0 advantage in their head-to-head matches. This previous encounter took place at the 2024 US Open, where Paul defeated Diallo in four sets, with a scoreline of 6-7(5), 6-3, 6-1, 7-6(3).

Gabriel Diallo, 23 years old, is currently ranked 89th in the world and achieved his career-high ranking of 85th in January 2025. He broke into the top 100 in October 2024 after reaching the quarterfinals, semifinals, and final of ATP Tour events in Almaty. Diallo made his tour-level debut at the 2022 Davis Cup Finals against Serbia and earned his first ATP Tour win by defeating No. 21 Dan Evans at the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Toronto as a wildcard. Notably, he secured a significant win against No. 18 Lorenzo Musetti at the 2023 Davis Cup Finals round-robin stage, helping Canada qualify for the quarterfinals. Diallo also reached the third round of the 2024 US Open as a qualifier. With a 3-1 record in Challenger finals, he claimed his first title at the 2022 Granby while ranked 519th. Prior to turning pro, Diallo represented the University of Kentucky and reached the quarterfinal round at the 2022 NCAA Singles Championships.

This match against Tommy Paul marks Diallo’s first time facing a top 10 opponent, and he hopes to secure the biggest win of his career (his record against top 20 players is currently 1-4). In order to qualify for Acapulco, he impressively lost only three games in the qualifying rounds, defeating De Alba Valdes 6-1, 6-1 in the first round and Bellucci 6-1, 6-0 in the second round. This will be Diallo’s first appearance in an ATP 500 event, where he joins his countryman Denis Shapovalov in the main draw.

Tommy Paul, 27 years old, currently holds the 10th spot in the world rankings, with a career-high ranking of 9th achieved in January 2025. In the 2024 season, Paul had an outstanding performance, earning a personal-best 45 wins and clinching his fourth ATP Tour title at London/Queen’s Club. He was also the first American man since Andy Roddick in 2009 to reach the semifinals of the Australian Open in 2023. Notably, Paul has a 7-14 record against top 5 players, including his biggest career win over No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz to reach his first ATP Masters 1000 semifinal in Toronto 2023. In 2021, he defeated fellow juniors Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe en route to his first ATP Tour final and title in Stockholm. Additionally, Paul achieved remarkable success in 2024, winning titles in Dallas, London/Queen’s Club, and Stockholm. He also reached the semifinals in ATP Masters 1000 events in Indian Wells and Rome, where he defeated the reigning champion, No. 4 Daniil Medvedev, in the fourth round. As a junior player, Paul won the Roland Garros boys’ singles title in 2015, reached the doubles final with William Blumberg, and finished as the runner-up in the US Open boys’ singles.

This will be Paul’s seventh appearance at the Acapulco event, where he has previously achieved three of his 12 career victories against top 10 players. Notably, he defeated No. 7 Alexander Zverev in the second round in 2020, No. 6 Matteo Berrettini on his way to the quarterfinals in 2022, and No. 5 Taylor Fritz to reach the final in 2023 (where he lost to Alex de Minaur). In his most recent tournament in Dallas, Paul made his debut as a top 10 player and reached the semifinals before falling to Denis Shapovalov.

The match between Gabriel Diallo and Tommy Paul will take place on the Grandstand court.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Diallo will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Gabriel Diallo vs Tommy Paul, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Gabriel Diallo vs Tommy Paul prediction.