Prediction Of Darderi Vs Nakashima H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Erste Bank Open 2025?

What Time Will Luciano Darderi Play Against Brandon Nakashima?

Darderi and Nakashima are on the Day 1 Schedule at Erste Bank Open 2025 on Monday 20 October 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In an upcoming match at the 25 Hamburg tournament in Germany, Italian player Luciano Darderi will face American player Brandon Nakashima. Darderi currently leads their head-to-head matchup with a score of 1-0, having previously defeated Nakashima in a Clay R16 match with a score of 7-5, 6-7(7), 6-2.

Tennis Data Innovations Insights utilizes algorithmic software to process ball and player tracking data in real-time. This data is used to calculate shot type, shot quality, situation, phase of play, and tactic for every shot during a match. More information on these insights can be found at https://www.atptour.com/en/news/news-filter-results/insights.

According to insights from their 52-week averages, Darderi has a 25% attack score, 66% conversion score, 33% steal score, 7.9 serve quality, 6.7 return quality, 7.8 forehand quality, and 6.8 backhand quality. On the other hand, Nakashima has a 24% attack score, 68% conversion score, 31% steal score, 8.4 serve quality, 6.4 return quality, 7.5 forehand quality, and 6.8 backhand quality. The tour average for these statistics is 24% attack, 69% conversion, 31% steal, 7.9 serve quality, 6.5 return quality, 7.5 forehand quality, and 7.1 backhand quality.

Luciano Darderi, aged 23, currently holds the world No. 26 ranking, which is his career-high. In 2025, he has a record of 29-23 with 3 titles under his belt. Darderi started his 2024 season as No. 128 and steadily climbed up to break into the Top 100 by February and reach a career-high of No. 26 by September 2025. He secured his first ATP Tour title by defeating Bagnis in Cordoba, becoming one of the few qualifiers to achieve this since the ATP Tour’s inception in 1990. In 2025, he won titles in Bastad, Umag, and Marrakech, showcasing his skill and consistency on the court.

Brandon Nakashima, aged 24 and currently ranked world No. 35, reached a career-high of No. 29 in May 2025. He achieved his 100th career win on his way to the biggest semifinal of his career in Acapulco in the same year. Nakashima made headlines by defeating his countryman Giron to win his first ATP Tour title in his hometown of San Diego in 2022. He has had success in various tournaments and has shown strong performances in Grand Slam events, such as reaching the 3rd round at Roland Garros, the 4th round at Wimbledon, and the 3rd round at the US Open in 2022.

Both players will be looking to add to their successes and improve their performance in the upcoming match. Luciano Darderi aims to achieve 30 wins in a season for the first time in his career, joining other Italian players who have accomplished this feat. On the other hand, Brandon Nakashima seeks to secure his first Top 30 win in a completed match since his victory over No. 12 Paul in Vienna last year.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Darderi will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima prediction.