Prediction Of Darderi Vs Jong H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Nordea Open 2025?

What Time Will Luciano Darderi Play Against Jesper de Jong?

Darderi and Jong are on the Day 7 Schedule at Nordea Open 2025 on Sunday 20 July 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Luciano Darderi of Italy, aged 23 and currently ranked World No. 55 with a career-high of No. 32, is set to face Jesper de Jong of the Netherlands for the first time. Darderi, a former Top 10 junior player, had a remarkable rise in the rankings in 2024, starting the season at No. 128 before breaking into the Top 100 in February, Top 50 in May, and reaching a career-high of No. 32 in August. He secured his first ATP Tour title in Cordoba by defeating Bagnis in a historic final between two qualifiers, a feat not seen since the establishment of the ATP Tour in 1990. In 2025, he went on to win the title in Marrakech and reached the final in Bastad. Darderi also made appearances in the ATP Tour semifinals in Houston and Lyon in 2024 and reached the third round of Wimbledon in 2025. With a Challenger record of 90-61 and titles in Todi, Lima-2, and Perugia, Darderi has proved his prowess on the court. He started playing tennis at the young age of 4 with his father, Luciano Enrique, who is a former player and current coach. Seeking his third ATP Tour title and aiming to become the sixth Italian in the Open Era to win in Bastad, Darderi has had a successful season on clay, boasting a 14-1 record against players ranked outside the Top 30.

In terms of Italian men who have reached the Bastad final in the Open Era, Darderi aims to join the ranks of players like Martin Mulligan, Adriano Panatta, and Fabio Fognini, who have had success on the Swedish courts. Among active Italian ATP Tour champions, Darderi stands alongside players like Jannik Sinner, Lorenzo Musetti, and Matteo Berrettini in showcasing Italy’s strong presence in the world of tennis.

On the other side, Jesper de Jong, aged 25 and currently ranked World No. 106 with a career-high of No. 87, has had his own journey to this point. Breaking into the Top 500 in 2019, Top 200 in 2022, and Top 100 in March 2025, de Jong achieved his career-high ranking after making waves in the ATP Masters 1000 Rome. His victories against Griekspoor and Davidovich Fokina highlight his potential as a rising player. With an impressive Grand Slam qualifying record and a Challenger title at Almaty-2, de Jong is eager to claim his first ATP Tour title in the Bastad final, aiming to become the second Dutchman to do so this season.

As the Bastad Tennisstadion sets the stage for this exciting final between Darderi and de Jong, their statistics from the tournament showcase their strengths in different areas of the game. With a focus on aces, 1st-serve percentage, service games won, and break points saved, both players will bring their best to the court. The matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter between two talented players vying for their moment of glory in the Bastad final.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Darderi will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Luciano Darderi vs Jesper de Jong, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Luciano Darderi vs Jesper de Jong prediction.