Prediction Of Cobolli Vs Medvedev H2H, Who Will Win At ATP China Open 2024?

What Time Will Flavio Cobolli Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Cobolli and Medvedev are on the Day 5 Schedule at China Open 2024 on Monday 30 September 2024. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Flavio Cobolli and Daniil Medvedev will be facing each other in their second professional match. Medvedev currently holds a 1-0 lead in their head-to-head record. The previous encounter took place in the round of 32 at the 2024 US Open on hard courts, where Medvedev defeated Cobolli in straight sets, with a scoreline of 6-3, 6-4, 6-3.

Cobolli, at the age of 22, is ranked as the world No. 32 and has achieved a career-high ranking of No. 31 in August 2024, following his first ATP Tour final appearance in Washington. In his 2024 season, Cobolli has a win-loss record of 33-24, with notable victories over higher-ranked opponents such as Americans Shelton (ranked No. 15) in the 2024 Geneva tournament and No. 14 in the 2024 Washington tournament, as well as No. 13 Paul in the 2024 ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati first round. He also reached the third round of the Australian Open as a qualifier, defeating No. 18 Jarry in the first round, and the third round of the US Open as the No. 31 seed. Cobolli displayed resilience during his ATP Tour debut in Parma in 2021, saving three match points against Giron to secure a victory. He has also been successful at the challenger level, winning titles in Zadar in 2022 and Lisbon in 2023, and reaching the finals in Rome-2 in 2021, Barletta in 2021, and Olbia in 2023. Previously, Cobolli had achieved a career-high ranking of No. 8 in the junior circuit and concluded his junior career by winning the 2020 Roland Garros boys’ doubles title alongside partner Stricker.

Notably, Cobolli aims to achieve the biggest win of his career against a top 10 player, as his current record stands at 0-6 against such opponents. This victory could secure him a spot in his third ATP Tour semifinal, following his previous appearances in Geneva and Washington earlier in the season. Cobolli currently holds the No. 30 spot in the PIF ATP Live Rankings and could rise to No. 28 with a win in the quarterfinals. He, along with Sinner, has the opportunity to become the second Italian duo to reach ATP 500 semifinals, with the first being Fognini and Seppi at the 2015 Hamburg tournament. Additionally, Cobolli has proven to be successful in deciding sets, as he leads the 2024 ATP Tour with a win-loss record of 17-9 in such situations.

On the other hand, Daniil Medvedev, aged 28, is currently ranked world No. 5 and has achieved a career-high ranking of No. 1. In 2024, he holds a win-loss record of 41-16 and has reached two finals. Medvedev’s notable accomplishments include his 16-week stint as the world No. 1 in 2022, making him the tallest player at that ranking in history at 1.98m (6’6″), and the first player other than Djokovic, Federer, Murray, and Nadal to hold the No. 1 spot since Roddick in 2004. He has reached the finals of six Grand Slam tournaments, including a significant victory over Djokovic in the 2021 US Open final, where he denied Djokovic the calendar Grand Slam. Medvedev also achieved a remarkable feat by defeating Djokovic, Nadal, and Thiem en route to winning the 2020 Nitto ATP Finals, becoming the first player to accomplish a sweep of the top three players in the tournament’s history since Nalbandian in 2007 Madrid. In addition, Medvedev had a successful 2021 season, recording 63 victories and leading the ATP Tour in wins. He also played a crucial role in leading the Russian team to victory in the 2021 ATP Cup, Laver Cup, and Davis Cup. Out of his 20 singles titles, 18 have been won on hard courts, including ATP Masters 1000 championships in Cincinnati, Shanghai, Paris, Toronto, Miami, and Rome in 2023, which marked his first clay ATP Tour title of his career.

Medvedev, in search of his 56th tour-level semifinal and sixth semifinal appearance in 2024, has reached the finals of the Australian Open and ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells this season. However, he is looking to secure his first title since winning the 2023 ATP Masters 1000 Rome tournament in May of last year. He has demonstrated dominance against players ranked outside the top 20 this year, with a record of 33-4 against such opponents on hard courts.

In terms of ATP 500 tournaments, Medvedev leads the win-loss record since 2022, with a record of 41-8. He has claimed titles at the 2022 Vienna, 2023 Rotterdam, and 2023 Dubai tournaments. Other notable players in the win leaders’ list include Andrey Rublev, Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner, and Alex de Minaur. Rublev holds a record of 37-17, with his title coming from the 2022 Dubai tournament. Alcaraz has a record of 37-7, and his titles include Rio de Janeiro in 2022, Barcelona from 2022 to 2023, and London/Queen’s Club in 2023. Sinner boasts a record of 34-4, having won titles in Beijing in 2023, Vienna in 2023, Rotterdam in 2024, and Halle in 2024. De Minaur has a record of 32-16 and has achieved success in the Acapulco tournaments in 2023 and 2024.

In conclusion, the match between Flavio Cobolli and Daniil Medvedev will mark their second encounter, with Medvedev leading 1-0 in their head-to-head record. While Cobolli looks to secure the biggest win of his career and reach his third ATP Tour semifinal, Medvedev aims for his 56th tour-level semifinal and his first title since 2023.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Cobolli will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Flavio Cobolli vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.