Prediction Of Cerundolo Vs Ruud H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Mutua Madrid Open 2025?

What Time Will Francisco Cerundolo Play Against Casper Ruud?

Cerundolo and Ruud are on the Day 10 Schedule at Mutua Madrid Open 2025 on Friday 2 May 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Head-to-head, Francisco Cerundolo has a 5-3 advantage over Casper Ruud. Their most recent match was in the semifinals of the ATP Masters 1000 Miami, where Ruud defeated Cerundolo 6-4, 6-1. However, Cerundolo had secured victories in their previous meetings, including matchups in Rome and Paris.

Francisco Cerundolo, 26 years old and ranked 21st in the world, has had a successful career so far. In 2025, he reached the final in Buenos Aires and had a 7-2 record in Madrid. Throughout his career, Cerundolo has broken into the top 100 rankings eleven times, reaching a career-high of No. 19 in June 2023. He achieved this after making it to the fourth round of the 2023 Roland Garros, defeating No. 8 Fritz in the process.

Cerundolo’s breakthrough came in July 2022 when he defeated No. 5 Ruud to win his first ATP Tour title in Bastad. He followed up this success by reaching the semifinals of the Hamburg tournament, defeating No. 8 Rublev along the way. In 2023, Cerundolo won his second title at Eastbourne, becoming the first Argentine ATP Tour champion on grass since Frana in 1995.

Notably, Cerundolo made history at the 2022 Miami tournament, where he reached the semifinals despite being ranked 103rd in the world. He became the lowest-ranked semifinalist in the tournament’s 37-year history and the first player to achieve this feat in his ATP Masters 1000 main draw debut since Janowicz in 2012.

Cerundolo comes from a family with a strong tennis background. His father, Alejandro, also played professional tennis, while his younger brother, Juan Manuel, won the 2021 Cordoba title. Even his sister, Constanza, represented the Argentine field hockey team that won a gold medal at the 2018 Youth Olympics.

In the upcoming match, Cerundolo aims to reach his seventh ATP Tour final and become the first man to record 25 wins on the ATP Tour this season. He is currently ranked 18th on the PIF ATP Live Rankings, and a win would elevate him to 16th. Cerundolo has a strong record against the other three semifinalists, with a 9-4 record against them.

Looking at the historical context, there have been several Argentine finalists in ATP Masters 1000 tournaments. Guillermo Coria and David Nalbandian have reached the final the most number of times, with 7 and 6 appearances respectively. Juan Martin del Potro, Guillermo Canas, Alberto Mancini, Agustin Calleri, Diego Schwartzman, and Mariano Zabaleta have also reached finals in these tournaments.

In terms of the Madrid tournament, the lowest-ranked finalists include Jan-Lennard Struff, Felix Auger-Aliassime, David Nalbandian, Nicolas Massu, and Gilles Simon. Ruud, who is currently ranked 15th in the world, is aiming for his 25th tour-level final of his career. He has already achieved significant milestones as the first Norwegian to win an ATP Tour title, reach the Nitto ATP Finals, and make it to a Grand Slam and ATP Masters 1000 final.

Ruud has been particularly strong on clay, leading the ATP Tour in clay-court wins, finals, and titles since the start of the 2020 season. He has also defeated World No. 1 Djokovic, highlighting the biggest win of his career en route to the ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo final in 2024. In the upcoming match, Ruud will be looking to reach his 18th clay-court final and make history as the first Scandinavian men’s finalist in Madrid.

In terms of their head-to-head record, Ruud has not had much success against Cerundolo. Out of their 21 matches since the start of the 2022 season, Ruud has lost 5 times to Cerundolo. However, with a win in Madrid, Ruud could improve his ranking from 15th to 10th.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Cerundolo will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Francisco Cerundolo vs Casper Ruud prediction.