Prediction Of Alcaraz Vs Nishioka H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Australian Open 2025?

What Time Will Carlos Alcaraz Play Against Yoshihito Nishioka?

Alcaraz and Nishioka are on the Day 4 Schedule at Australian Open 2025 on Wednesday 15 January. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Match: Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) vs. Yoshihito Nishioka (JPN)
Head-to-head: Alcaraz leads 1-0
2022 Paris-1000 Hard (I) R32 Alcaraz 64 64
This will be the second meeting between Carlos Alcaraz and Yoshihito Nishioka, with Alcaraz winning their previous match at the 2022 Paris-1000 in straight sets.
Alcaraz has an excellent record against left-handed players at Grand Slams, winning all 7 matches he has played against them. This includes victories against Alejandro Tabilo in the 1st round of the 2022 Australian Open and Shang Juncheng in the 3rd round of last year’s Australian Open, where Shang retired due to injury.
Overall, Alcaraz has a 27-9 win-loss record against left-handed players at the Tour-level.
In terms of rankings and records, Alcaraz is currently ranked 3rd in the ATP rankings, while Nishioka is ranked 65th.
Alcaraz has won 17 titles in his career, compared to Nishioka’s 3 titles.
In terms of their career Grand Slam records, Alcaraz has a 61-11 record, while Nishioka has a 19-34 record.
Alcaraz has an 8-3 record at the Australian Open, while Nishioka has a 9-9 record.
Their career records on hard courts are as follows: Alcaraz is 104-35, while Nishioka is 113-112.
In 2025, Alcaraz has a 1-0 record, while Nishioka has a 2-2 record. Both players have a 2-2 record on hard courts this year.
Alcaraz has an impressive career five-set record of 12-1, while Nishioka is 6-5.
Alcaraz has never come back from a 0-2 set deficit, while Nishioka has accomplished this once.
In terms of tiebreak records, Alcaraz has a career record of 73-47, while Nishioka has a record of 57-44. In 2025, Alcaraz has not played a tiebreak, while Nishioka has a 2-0 record.
Alcaraz is aiming to reach the 3rd round

of the Australian Open for the 4th time. This is his 4th appearance at the Australian Open and his 16th Grand Slam overall.
In the 1st round, Alcaraz defeated Alexander Shevchenko in straight sets.
Last year, Alcaraz achieved his best result at the Australian Open by reaching the quarterfinals. He has also reached at least the quarterfinals in all four Grand Slam tournaments.
Alcaraz has won a total of four Grand Slam titles, starting with the 2022 US Open and most recently winning at Wimbledon in 2024.
If Alcaraz were to win the Australian Open, he would become the youngest player in history to complete the career Grand Slam in men’s singles.
Alcaraz won four titles in 2024 and finished second on the list for most Tour-level titles that season.
Alcaraz is coached by Juan Carlos Ferrero, a former world No. 1 player.
On the other hand, Nishioka is aiming to reach the 2nd round of the Australian Open for the 3rd time. This is his 10th appearance at the Australian Open and his 35th Grand Slam overall.
Nishioka advanced to the 2nd round after winning his 1st round match in four sets against Aziz Dougaz.
Nishioka’s best result at a Grand Slam was reaching the round of 16 at the Australian Open in 2023 and the French Open in the same year.
Nishioka’s best result in 2024 was winning the title at Atlanta. He also reached the quarterfinals as a qualifier at Eastbourne.
Nishioka’s highest ranking was No. 24 in June 2023.
Nishioka has a 2-13 record against Top 5 players at the Tour-level, with his only victory coming against No. 2 Casper Ruud in 2022.
Nishioka made his Davis Cup debut for Japan in 2015 and has a positive win-loss record in the competition.
Nishioka is coached by Christian Zahalka.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Alcaraz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Carlos Alcaraz vs Yoshihito Nishioka, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Carlos Alcaraz vs Yoshihito Nishioka prediction.