Prediction Of Alcaraz Vs Minaur H2H, Who Will Win At ATP Abn Amro Open 2025?

What Time Will Carlos Alcaraz Play Against Alex de Minaur?

Alcaraz and Minaur are on the Day 7 Schedule at Abn Amro Open 2025 on Sunday 9 February 2025. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

In the upcoming match, Carlos Alcaraz from Spain will be facing off against Alex de Minaur from Australia. Alcaraz currently holds a 2-0 lead in their head-to-head matchups. They have previously played on clay in Barcelona, Spain, where Alcaraz won with a score of 6-7(4) 7-6(4) 6-4, and on grass in London at the Queen’s Club, where Alcaraz won with a score of 6-4 6-4.

Carlos Alcaraz is 21 years old and is currently ranked as the world number 3. He reached his career-high ranking of number 1 in 2025 and has a record of 8-1 this year, including reaching the final in Rotterdam, where he has a perfect 4-0 record. Alcaraz made history as the youngest and first teenage world number 1 and year-end number 1 in the PIF ATP Rankings history. He achieved this remarkable rise from the 32nd rank at the end of 2021 to the number 1 spot at the age of 19 in September 2022. He has spent a total of 36 weeks at the top ranking. Alcaraz became the youngest men’s champion at the US Open since Sampras in 1990 and the youngest champion at any Grand Slam event since Nadal at the 2005 Roland Garros. He also won the 2024 Roland Garros, defeating Sinner in the semifinals and Zverev in the final. Alcaraz has defeated Djokovic in the Wimbledon finals in 2023-24 and became the second man in the Open Era to win his first four Grand Slam finals. He also won a silver medal at the Paris Olympics, becoming the youngest Olympic men’s finalist since 1904. Alcaraz holds the record for being the youngest ATP 500 champion in Rio de Janeiro in 2022 and the third-youngest ATP Masters 1000 champion in Miami in 2022. He is the youngest player to defeat both Nadal and Djokovic, achieving this feat at the 2022 Madrid clay-court event.

In the Rotterdam final, Alcaraz will be playing his first indoor ATP Tour final. He aims to capture his 17th tour-level title and his first since the Beijing tournament in September. If he wins, he will become the 11th top-3 champion in Rotterdam’s 52-year history and the first Spanish champion. Alcaraz has a perfect 8-0 record against Australians on the tour-level. He also aims to become the 6th Spanish man to win 17 tour-level titles, surpassing Juan Carlos Ferrero’s record of 16 titles.

Looking back at previous Rotterdam finals, we see that the top-3 players have had success in the tournament. In 2018, Roger Federer, ranked number 2, defeated Dimitrov, ranked number 5. In 2012, Federer, ranked number 3, defeated del Potro, ranked number 10. In 2009, number 1 ranked Rafael Nadal lost to number 4 ranked Andy Murray, and in 2005, number 1 ranked Roger Federer defeated Ljubicic, ranked number 19. In 2004, number 3 ranked Juan Carlos Ferrero lost to number 13 ranked Hewitt.

In terms of Spanish title leaders in the Open Era, Rafael Nadal holds the record with 92 titles. Following him are Alex Corretja, Manuel Orantes, Carlos Alcaraz, David Ferrer, Juan Martin Ferrero, Carlos Moya, and Jose Higueras, all with 16 or more titles.

Moving on to Alex de Minaur, he is 25 years old and currently ranked number 8 in the world. He reached a career-high ranking of number 6 in July 2024. De Minaur became the first Australian to qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals in singles since Hewitt in 2004. He has won 9 ATP Tour titles, with his biggest victories coming in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. De Minaur reached his first Grand Slam quarterfinal at the 2020 US Open and also reached the quarterfinals at the 2024 Roland Garros, Wimbledon, and US Open. He achieved his first ATP Masters 1000 quarterfinal, semifinal, and final at the 2023 Toronto tournament. In Davis Cup play, de Minaur led Australia to its first final since 2003 and secured significant wins over Nadal and Djokovic. De Minaur is of Uruguayan and Spanish descent, splits his time between Australia and Spain, and is fluent in English, Spanish, and French.

Heading into the Rotterdam final, de Minaur has had success on Dutch soil, with a record of 12-1 since the start of 2024. He has an 8-0 record since losing to Sinner in the 2024 Rotterdam final. De Minaur is aiming for his 10th ATP Tour title, the first since winning the ‘s-Hertogenbosch title in June. He has previously won two ATP 500 level titles, both in Acapulco in 2023 and 2024. De Minaur has a challenging record against top-ranked players, with a 7-36 record against the top 5 players and a 4-17 record against the top 3 players. However, he has achieved notable victories over Medvedev, Nadal, and Djokovic in the past.

Lastly, we have some statistics from the 2025 Rotterdam tournament for both Alcaraz and de Minaur. Alcaraz has hit 16 aces, maintained a 61% first-serve percentage, won 78.3% of his first-serve points, won 56% of his second-serve points, won 91% of his service games, saved 71% of break points, won 38% of his first-serve return points, won 57% of his second-serve return points, won 37.8% of return games, and converted 47% of break points. De Minaur, on the other hand, has hit 7 aces, maintained a 51% first-serve percentage, won 77.6% of his first-serve points, won 69% of his second-serve points, won 97% of his service games, saved 88% of break points, won 26% of his first-serve return points, won 67% of his second-serve return points, won 38.2% of return games, and converted 43% of break points.

These are the key facts and statistics for the upcoming Rotterdam final match between Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur.

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Alcaraz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur prediction.