Who Will Win: Alcaraz Vs Medvedev? Prediction For ATP Wimbledon 2024

What Time Will Carlos Alcaraz Play Against Daniil Medvedev?

Alcaraz and Medvedev are on the Singles Semifinal Schedule at Wimbledon 2024 on Friday 12 July. Lets breakdown the career, past stats and recent form of these players and predict who will get the victory.

Who Will Win In This Head-To-Head?

Matchup: No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) vs. No. 5 Daniil Medvedev
Head-to-head: Alcaraz leads 4-2

Previous meetings:
– 2021 Wimbledon, Grass (O), R64: Medvedev won 64 61 62
– 2023 Indian Wells-1000, Hard (O), FR: Alcaraz won 63 62
– 2023 Wimbledon, Grass (O), SF: Alcaraz won 63 63 63
– 2023 US Open, Hard (O), SF: Medvedev won 76(3) 61 36 63
– 2023 ATP Finals, Hard (I), RR: Alcaraz won 64 64
– 2024 Indian Wells-1000, Hard (O), FR: Alcaraz won 76(5) 61

This will be the 7th meeting between Alcaraz and Medvedev, with Alcaraz holding a 4-2 advantage. They have faced each other 3 times at Grand Slam tournaments, with each player winning once at Wimbledon. Medvedev won their most recent encounter at the 2024 Indian Wells-1000.

Alcaraz has a strong record against top 5 players at Wimbledon. He has won 2 out of the 3 matches he has played against top 5 players at the tournament, including victories over both Medvedev and Novak Djokovic in the semifinals and final last year.

In Grand Slam semifinals, Alcaraz and Medvedev are tied 1-1. Alcaraz won at Wimbledon in 2023, while Medvedev won at the US Open in the same year.

This is the second meeting between top 5 players at Wimbledon this year, with Medvedev defeating No. 1 Jannik Sinner in the quarterfinals.

Alcaraz has won 4 out of his last 5 matches against top 5 players at Grand Slam tournaments. His only defeat came against Medvedev in the semifinals of the 2023 US Open. He has an overall record of 6-4 against top 5 players at Grand Slams.

Alcaraz is currently on a 4-match winning streak against top 5 players on the tour. Since his loss to No. 1 Djokovic in the 2023 ATP Finals semifinals, he has defeated No. 3 Sinner and No. 4 Medvedev in the semifinals and final at Indian Wells-1000 this year, and No. 2 Sinner and No. 4 Alexander Zverev in the semifinals and final at Roland Garros last month. His overall record against top 5 players at tour-level is 16-9.

Medvedev has

also won 2 out of the 3 matches he has played against top 5 players at Wimbledon. He defeated No. 3 Stan Wawrinka in the first round in 2017 and No. 1 Sinner in the quarterfinals this year, but lost to No. 1 Alcaraz in the semifinals last year.

Medvedev has won 2 out of his last 6 matches against top 5 players at Grand Slam tournaments. His victories came against No. 1 Alcaraz at the 2023 US Open and No. 1 Sinner at this year’s Wimbledon. His overall record against top 5 players at Grand Slams is 5-9.

Medvedev’s win over No. 1 Sinner in the quarterfinals at Wimbledon ended a 5-match losing streak against top 5 players at tour-level. His previous victory against a top 5 player came against No. 5 Andrey Rublev in the group stage at the 2023 ATP Finals. His overall record against top 5 players at tour-level is 16-31.

Possible final head-to-head matchups:
– Djokovic vs. Musetti: Djokovic leads 3-0
– Alcaraz vs. Djokovic: Alcaraz leads 3-1
– Medvedev vs. Musetti: Medvedev leads 2-0

Road to the semifinals:
– Alcaraz: Won against Mark Lajal, Aleksandar Kovacevic, Aleksandar Vukic, Frances Tiafoe, Jan-Lennard Struff, Ugo Humbert, Grigor Dimitrov, Tommy Paul, and Jannik Sinner
– Medvedev: Won against N/A, Alexandre Muller, No. 29 Frances Tiafoe, Jan-Lennard Struff, Ugo Humbert, Grigor Dimitrov, and No. 1 Jannik Sinner

Player profiles:
– Alcaraz: 21 years old, 1.83m/6’0″ tall, ranked No. 3, career prize money of $31,578,625, 15 titles, 57-10 career Grand Slam record, best Wimbledon result is reaching the semifinals in 2023 and 2024, 16-2 Wimbledon record, 186-49 career record, 22-3 career record on grass, and 31-6 record in 2024
– Medvedev: 28 years old, 1.98m/6’6″ tall, ranked No. 5, career prize money of $41,047,137, 21 titles, 84-27 career Grand Slam record, best Wimbledon result is reaching the semifinals in 2023 and 2024, 18-5 Wimbledon record, 368-145 career record, 46-21 career record on grass, and 33-9 record in 2024

My Conclusion / Prediction:

My pick is that Alcaraz will win.
Matchstat.com has an Artificial Intelligence (Ai) prediction model that is trained on all professional ATP and WTA past matches.

To find out who our model thinks will win for Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev, have a look at the prediction here:

Matchstat.com Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev prediction.

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