Access all the insights regarding the bookmaking market for the Germany vs Italy match for the UEFA Nations League, Finals 24/25 on the March 23, 2025, in our analysis here. We reveal the Germany vs Italy picks, best bets and odds markets for this match in the our preview beneath.
Forecast Based On Odds: Germany to win
- Calculated from the sportsbook odds, Germany are favored to come out on top in this game with a 52.08% probability to win. An accurate tip? Yes, due to Bookmakers know their data:
Germany → 1.92
Italy → 4.15Prediction Chance Of Win Germany 52.08 % Italy 24.1 % Draw 26.67 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to discover our expert picks.
- Calculated chance from the odds, also suggests there is a 56.5% probability of both Germany and Italy to find the net (BTTS):
BTTS Yes → 1.77Prediction Chance Of BTTS Yes 56.5 % No 50.51 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert predictions.
- Assessing the odds for total goals suggests a likelihood of a 77.52% prediction of this match having higher than 1.5 total goals:
Match Over 1.5 Goals → 1.29Prediction Chance Of O/U FT (1.5) Over 77.52 % Under 26.6 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to find out our expert picks.
- Analyzing the odds for total goals suggests there is a 51.95% prediction of this match having higher than 2.5 total goals scored:
Match Over 2.5 Goals → 1.93Prediction Chance Of O/U FT (2.5) Over 51.95 % Under 50.99 % Above is implied from odds. Login now to reveal our expert predictions.
- Evaluating the odds for DNB implies a likelihood of 70.42% prediction that Germany will come out on top in this match. Odds for:
Germany → 1.42Prediction Chance Of Draw No Bet Germany 70.42 % Italy 33.9 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to get our expert picks.
- Evaluating the odds for goal count implies a likelihood of 35.09% expectation that this game will have more than 1.5 goals in the first half:
Match Over 1.5 Goals → 2.85Prediction Chance Of O/U 1H (1.5) Over 35.09 % Under 69.06 % Above is calculated from odds. Login now to reveal our expert picks.
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Prediction Based On Head-to-Head: Germany to win the match
| Team | Head-To-Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Germany | 4 |
| Italy | 2 |
| Draw | 4 |
H2H: Germany (4 – 2) Italy.
Germany to win. Why? Across the past 10 direct encounters between these teams, Germany are up 4 – 2. Our H2H data starts from the match they had in 1996. This indicates that Germany are likely to prevail in this scheduled face-off. Their most recent fixture took place on the Thu, 20 Mar 25, when Germany secured a 2 – 1 win.
Can Italy break the pattern and overcome the H2H stats? The most recent game Italy came out on top vs Germany was on Thu, 28 Jun 12, illustrating that they are not without hope.
Form-Based Prediction: Germany to prevail
Analyzing team momentum heading into this game, Germany triumphed up against Italy with a result of 2-1. Italy lost up against Germany with a score of 1-2. Germany have prevailed in 6 of their recent 10 fixtures vs all teams, while Italy triumphed in 4 of their last 10 games versus all opponents, suggesting maybe Germany are in better shape heading into this match.
Analysing team trends offer interesting information into current form so you can uncover successful bets
Versus All Teams Streaks:
- Germany: 7 No losses.
- Germany: More than 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 7 matches.
- Italy: More than 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 7 matches.
- Italy: Both teams scoring in 6 of the last 7 matches.
- Germany: First to score in 4 of the last 5 matches.
- Italy: First to score in 5 of the last 6 matches.
- Italy: First half winner in 5 of the last 6 matches.
- Italy: Less than 4.5 cards in 7 of the last 8 matches.
Only H2H Streaks:
- Germany: 7 No losses.
- Both teams: Without clean sheet in the last 3 matches.
- Both teams: Both teams scoring in 8 of the last 9 matches.
- Both teams: Less than 4.5 cards in 6 of the last 7 matches.
- Both teams: Less than 10.5 corners in 6 of the last 7 matches.
Germany vs Italy Top Bookie Odds For The Game
Full Time Result
Both Teams To Score
Over Under Full Time
Asian Handicap && -1.5
Draw No Bet
Over Under First Half
Germany vs Italy Tips
Over Under Full Time 2.5 → Over appears a rewarding stake → 1.93







